肯贸易与旅游行业对2025年增长预期最低

Core Insights - The CEOs of the trade and tourism sectors in Kenya have the lowest economic growth expectations for 2025, with 37% of trade executives anticipating growth below 3% and about 24% of tourism CEOs sharing similar views [1] - In contrast, the real estate sector shows optimism, with approximately 25% of respondents expecting growth to exceed 6% [1] - Respondents believe that improvements in the service sector, increased private sector activity, and a stable macroeconomic environment (including low inflation and stable exchange rates) will support economic growth [1] - Recent increases in tariffs on Kenyan goods by the U.S. and the expiration of AGOA are expected to raise import costs, reduce exports, and potentially lead to a decline in consumer demand, posing downward pressure on industry growth [1]