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Microsoft's New OpenAI Deal Could Be Its Smartest AI Move Yet
MicrosoftMicrosoft(US:MSFT) Benzingaยท2025-10-29 18:13

Core Insights - Wall Street analysts view Microsoft's restructured partnership with OpenAI as a significant advancement in its artificial intelligence strategy, reinforcing its leadership in AI infrastructure and paving the way for cloud-driven growth [1][6]. Partnership and Stake - Microsoft now holds a 27% diluted stake in OpenAI Group PBC, valued at approximately $135 billion, and has extended its intellectual property rights through 2032, which now includes post-AGI models [2]. Azure Commitment - OpenAI has committed $250 billion to Azure compute services, which analysts believe enhances long-term revenue visibility and solidifies Microsoft's position as the leading AI cloud provider [3][7]. Hosting and Revenue Generation - Microsoft will exclusively host OpenAI's commercial workloads, including ChatGPT and DALL-E, on Azure, which will generate recurring compute and storage revenue across enterprise AI applications [4][8]. Analyst Ratings and Forecasts - Goldman Sachs maintains a Buy rating with a price forecast of $630, projecting revenue growth from $245.22 billion in fiscal 2024 to $324.26 billion in fiscal 2026, driven by AI adoption and cloud demand [5][6]. - Bank of America also reiterates a Buy rating with a price target of $640, expecting the Azure commitment to significantly boost cloud revenue starting fiscal 2027 [7][8]. Competitive Edge - The exclusivity of Microsoft's access to OpenAI's API workloads enhances its competitive advantage and cross-selling opportunities across Azure, Copilot, and Dynamics platforms [8].