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今年投AI一万亿元!Meta梭哈,微软被摁在地上摩擦
美股研究社· 2026-01-30 11:13
以下文章来源于字母AI ,作者小金牙 字母AI . 聚焦前沿科技,抢先看到未来。 来源 | 字母AI (ID:faceaibang) 作者 | 小金牙 同一晚,两份财报,两种情绪。 Meta财报一出,股价在盘后一路拉升。 几乎与此同时,微软却在下跌。 账面数字并没有那么悬殊,真正拉开差距的,是市场对"未来"的态度。 扎 克 伯 格 真 给 大 家 钓 成 翘 嘴 了 Meta这次的财报是真的猛。 2025财年第四财季,Meta: · 营收598.93亿美元,同比增幅达到24%,显著高于华尔街预期。 · 净利润227.68亿美元,同比增长6%。 · 稀释后每股收益8.88美元,同比增长11%。 其中营收大头依然由广告业务贡献,第四季度Meta广告营收581.37亿美元,占总营收的97%。其他业务收入虽少,但同比增长54%。 从运营角度来看,Meta应用家族日活跃用户(DAP)平均值为35.8亿人,同比增长7%。 第四季度应用家族上的广告展现量分别同比增长18%,每条广告的平均价格分别同比增长6%;2025年这两个增幅分别为全年12%、9%。 Meta向来把广告业务的积极变化归功于AI的加持,因为有AI的帮助,广 ...
别只盯着Azure!大摩力挺微软:cRPO大增39%+Copilot临近爆发,公司长期增长逻辑未变
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2026-01-30 10:35
微软股价遭遇2020年以来最大单日跌幅之际,摩根士丹利坚定站在买方阵营。尽管Azure增速未达市场预期引发抛售,但大摩认为,投资者过度聚 焦单一指标而忽略了更宏观的增长图景:一家营收超2400亿美元的巨头实现15%的恒定货币增长,营业利润率扩张160个基点至47%,EPS增长 21%,且39%的cRPO(剩余合同金额)同比增长预示着更强劲的未来。 微软周三公布的2026财年第二财季业绩显示,Azure恒定货币增速为38%,仅比公司指引高出1个百分点,低于投资者预期的2-3个百分点超预期幅 度。这一结果令市场失望,微软股价盘中一度暴跌超12%,最终收跌9.99%至433.50美元,创下2020年3月以来最大收盘跌幅。 然而摩根士丹利维持微软"增持"评级和650美元目标价不变。据追风交易台消息,大摩分析师Keith Weiss在29日的报告中指出,微软商业合同剩余 履约义务(cRPO)同比增长39%,总商业RPO达到6250亿美元、同比增长110%,即便剔除OpenAI大额合同,RPO仍增长28%,显示出广泛的商业 需求强度。CFO Amy Hood在财报电话会议中强调:"客户需求持续超过我们的供应能力。" 大摩 ...
2812 亿美元!「OpenAI 税」开始「拖累」微软
创业邦· 2026-01-30 10:18
以下文章来源于极客公园 ,作者桦林舞王 极客公园 . 用极客视角,追踪你最不可错过的科技圈。欢迎同步关注极客公园视频号 来源丨 极客公园(ID:geekpark) 作者丨 桦林舞王 编辑丨 靖宇 当地时间 1 月 28 日,微软发布了第二季度财报,明明财报营收暴涨,但是市场并不买账。 财报显示,公司第二季度营收 813 亿美元, 同比增长 17%,净利润更是飙升 60% 至 385 亿美元 。 其中,微软云业务收入首次突破 500 亿美元大关,达到 515 亿美元,同比增长 26% 。 这无疑是一份强劲的财报。然而,市场的反应却是股价在盘后一度下挫超过 8%。 CNBC 分析指出,下跌源于「云增长放缓以及微弱的利润率指引」。具体来看,被视为增长引擎的 Azure 云服务收入同比增长 39%,略低于市场预期的 40% 门槛。 投资者似乎对这家「AI 最大赢家」抱有永不满足的期待,任何增长放缓的迹象都会被放大。 但财报中一个更值得玩味的数据是: 微软云的合同积压(Remaining Performance Obligation)暴 增 110%,达到惊人的 6250 亿美元 。 CEO 萨提亚・纳德拉在财报中骄傲 ...
美联储新任主席人选即将揭晓
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-30 09:59
来源:环球市场播报 2026 年 1 月 12 日,美国华盛顿,美联储总部大楼的建筑工地旁停放着一台挖掘机。此前,美国总统唐 纳德・特朗普再次威胁,将因美联储主席杰罗姆・鲍威尔对该大楼翻修工程的管理问题对其提起诉讼。 当下的局势,宛如真人秀节目的收官时刻 —— 全世界都在静待这场 "角逐" 的胜者揭晓。只不过这一 次,胜出者不会带走 100 万美元奖金,却将手握影响全球 112 万亿美元经济体的权力。 美国总统唐纳德・特朗普于周四表示,将在美东时间周五上午公布美联储新任主席的提名人选。据预测 市场卡尔希数据显示,前美联储理事凯文・沃什是目前最热门的人选;另有政府消息人士向美国消费者 新闻与商业频道透露,沃什已于周四现身白宫。 特朗普是在《梅拉尼娅》纪录片首映式的间隙作出上述表态的,他同时还向英国发出警告,称英国与中 国开展商业合作 "风险极高"。恰逢此时,英国首相基尔・斯塔默正在中国访问,据英国唐宁街 10 号消 息,英中双方已在关祱、免签旅行及商业投资领域达成多项合作协议。 市场此刻正忙着消化远不止政治层面的各类消息。周四收盘后,苹果发布财报,受 iPhone 需求 "持续火 爆" 推动,公司 2026 财 ...
Microsoft stock just crashed $360 billion in a day; Here's why
Finbold· 2026-01-30 09:41
Core Viewpoint - Microsoft experienced a significant stock decline of nearly 10% in a single day, resulting in a market capitalization drop of approximately $360 billion, despite reporting strong earnings shortly before the decline [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - Microsoft reported an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.14, exceeding the expected $3.97, and revenue of $81.27 billion, surpassing the forecast of $80.27 billion [4]. - The company's cloud services, including Azure, grew by 39%, aligning with expectations [5]. Investor Sentiment - Despite strong earnings, investor sentiment was negatively impacted by a lower-than-expected implied fiscal third-quarter operating margin of 45.1% and a gross margin that fell to a three-year low of 68% [7]. - A notable 9.5% drop in gaming revenue contributed to investor unease, alongside concerns that 45% of Microsoft's backlog is tied to OpenAI, raising fears about dependency on a single entity [8][10]. Market Dynamics - The discussion surrounding OpenAI has intensified, with concerns about its financial sustainability and the potential for an AI bubble, leading to increased selling pressure on Microsoft shares [9][10]. - Microsoft's aggressive integration of its Copilot AI into software has led to a perception of diminishing goodwill among users, with some referring to the company as "Microslop" [11][13].
Microsoft: Cloud Is Going To Be A Winner In 2026 (Rating Upgrade) (NASDAQ:MSFT)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-30 09:04
Core Viewpoint - Microsoft's Cloud business is experiencing significant growth, contributing to the company's ability to exceed consensus estimates for both revenue and earnings by substantial margins [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Microsoft achieved double-digit growth in its top-line revenue, indicating strong demand and performance in its Cloud segment [1].
未来数月微软工程师将全力修复Windows 11核心问题
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-01-30 08:51
来源:环球市场播报 Windows系统如今处境尴尬。在其40年的发展历程中,这款操作系统虽历经数次决策失误,却从未像 Windows 11这样,以全新的方式消磨着用户的耐心。层出不穷的程序漏洞、性能问题、强行弹出的提 示窗口、广告植入以及预装臃肿软件,正不断侵蚀Windows的核心使用体验。而微软最初为Windows 11 设定的系统配置要求,也让其最忠实的用户倍感失望;公司大举进军人工智能领域却屡屡兑现不力,更 是加速了这份信任的流失。 微软还计划在今年余下的时间里,全面攻克Windows 11的各类用户痛点。微软Windows与设备部门总裁 帕万・达武卢里在声明中表示:"我们从热情的用户社群和Windows预览体验成员那里收到的反馈十分 明确,我们需要从用户的实际需求出发,切实优化Windows系统。今年,大家将看到我们聚焦解决用户 反复提及的痛点:提升系统性能、增强可靠性,优化Windows的整体使用体验。" 此次部分优化将是基础功能的改进,例如修复Windows11的深色模式问题,以及对过去十年间被忽视的 部分系统模块进行现代化升级。 美股频道更多独家策划、专家专栏,免费查阅>> 责任编辑:山上 Wi ...
微软:Results beat; long-term structural growth story remains unchanged-20260130
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2026-01-30 08:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains a BUY rating for Microsoft, indicating a potential return of over 15% over the next 12 months [19]. Core Insights - Microsoft reported 2QFY26 results with revenue of US$81.3 billion, reflecting a 16.7% year-over-year growth, which is 1.5% better than both the forecast and Bloomberg consensus estimates [1]. - Operating income increased by 20.9% year-over-year to US$38.3 billion, exceeding forecasts, driven by strong performance in the Productivity and Business Processes (PBP) and Intelligent Cloud (IC) segments [1]. - The target price has been revised down by 3% to US$614.6, translating into a price-to-earnings ratio of 35x for FY26E and 31x for FY27E [1][2]. Financial Performance - Revenue growth in the Intelligent Cloud segment was 28.8% year-over-year, contributing US$32.9 billion, which accounted for 40.5% of total revenue [7]. - Azure and other cloud services revenue grew by 39% year-over-year, aligning with consensus expectations [7]. - The Productivity and Business Processes segment generated US$34.1 billion in revenue, up 15.9% year-over-year, representing 42.0% of total revenue [7]. Capital Expenditure and Outlook - Capital expenditures, including financial leases, reached US$37.5 billion for 2QFY26, up 66% year-over-year, with a significant portion allocated to short-lived assets like GPUs and CPUs [7]. - Management anticipates a decrease in capital expenditures in 3QFY26 due to normal variability in cloud infrastructure buildouts [7]. Earnings Summary - For FY26E, revenue is projected at US$327.7 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 16.3% [8]. - Net profit is expected to reach US$129.5 billion, reflecting a 27.1% year-over-year increase [8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for FY26E is estimated at US$17.41, with a P/E ratio of 27.7x [8]. Share Performance and Market Data - The current market capitalization of Microsoft is approximately US$3.59 trillion, with an average turnover of US$12.08 billion over the last three months [3]. - The stock has a 52-week high of US$542.07 and a low of US$354.56 [3].
All Eyes on Trump’s Fed Chair Pick
Investing· 2026-01-30 08:22
Market Analysis by covering: Gold Spot US Dollar, S&P 500, Microsoft Corporation, US Dollar Index Futures. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com ...
Nasdaq Dips Over 150 Points Following Earnings Reports: Investor Sentiment Declines, Fear Index Remains In 'Greed' Zone
Benzinga· 2026-01-30 08:09
Market Sentiment - The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed a decline in overall market sentiment, remaining in the "Greed" zone with a current reading of 61.7, down from 64 [1][5]. Stock Performance - U.S. stocks settled mixed, with the Nasdaq Composite falling more than 150 points during the session. The Dow Jones closed higher by around 56 points to 49,071.56, while the S&P 500 fell 0.13% to 6,969.01 and the Nasdaq Composite dipped 0.72% to 23,685.12 [1][4]. Company-Specific Developments - Microsoft Corp. shares fell almost 10%, marking its worst session since March 2020, due to reported slowing cloud growth [2]. - ServiceNow Inc. shares tumbled 10% despite reporting upbeat earnings and revenue for the fourth quarter [2]. Economic Data - U.S. initial jobless claims fell by 1,000 to 209,000, compared to market estimates of 205,000 [3]. - The trade deficit rose sharply to $56.8 billion in November from a $29.2 billion gap in the previous month [3]. - U.S. wholesale inventories increased by 0.2% to $915 billion in November, maintaining the same pace as the previous month [3]. - U.S. factory orders climbed by 2.7% from the previous month to $621.6 billion in November [3]. Sector Performance - Most sectors on the S&P 500 closed positively, with real estate, communication services, and financial stocks recording the biggest gains. However, consumer discretionary and information technology stocks closed lower [4].