股 票 研 究 海外巨头战略深化，OpenAI 进军机器人领域，欧洲具身智能加速落地。国内新品 与场景作业多点开花，产量规模与数据要素双向突破。投融资市场需求旺盛，机器 人供应链与产能扩张。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 机器人《1X Technologies 发布"世界模型"， Skild AI 获 14 亿美元融资》2026.01.19 机器人《CES 2026：定义 AI 物理边界，加速具 身智能规模化落地》2026.01.11 机器人《量产版 Atlas 亮相 CES 2026，人形机器 人产业发展持续加速》2026.01.10 机器人《CES 国产机器人大放异彩，脑机接口有 望 26 年量产》2026.01.10 机器人《首款全身力控小尺寸人形机器人启元 Q1 发布》2026.01.01 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.01.24 Optimus 预计 27 年 toC 销售，宇树 25 年出货 5500 台机器人 [Table_Industry] 机器人 机器人行业周报 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- ...

产业动态： 马斯克表示特斯拉计划在明年年底开始向公众销售其人形机器人Optimus。根据智通财经公众号1 月23 日报道，在达沃斯论坛上，马斯克提及了特斯拉目前在机器人方面的进展。特斯拉计划在明年年底开始 向公众销售其人形机器人Optimus，届时这些机器人的可靠性和安全性将在反复试验下得到认可。目 前，一些特斯拉Optimus机器人已经在工厂中执行简单任务，预计到今年年底将具备更复杂的功能。 玖物智能计划在港交所上市。根据机器人前瞻公众号，1 月19 日，玖物智能递交招股书，准备在港交所 上市，中金公司、花旗为联席保荐人。玖物智能成立于2017 年，总部位于苏州，是一家以智能移动机 器人为核心的"机器人+"解决方案供应商，主要为工业领域设计、开发及部署具备感知、决策及交互能 力的多形态智能具身产业机器人。根据弗若斯特沙利文的资料，按2024 年智能具身产业机器人解决方 案的收入计，公司在中国排名第二，市场份额为5.9%。清洁能源技术领域排名第一。 宇泛智能宣布完成Pre-IPO+轮融资。根据机器人前瞻公众号，1 月19 日，宇泛智能宣布完成Pre-IPO+轮 融资，折合人民币5.13 亿元。 本轮融资由温州 ...

【数智周报将整合本周最重要的企业级服务、云计算、大数据领域的前沿趋势、重磅政策及行研报 告。】 观点 黄仁勋谈AI泡沫：泡沫产生是因为投资规模空前庞大，巨额投资是为了构建AI基础设施 黄仁勋在达沃斯论坛上表示，泡沫产生是因为投资规模空前庞大，巨额投资是为了构建AI基础设施， 机会非常巨大，每个人都该参与进来。人工智能行业虽然看起来像泡沫，但它并不是泡沫。他指出，人 工智能正引发一场"平台级变革"，人类即将迎来史上规模最大的基础设施投资，总规模将达数万亿美 元。人工智能基础设施在未来几年需要"数万亿美元"的额外投资。否则，最终将走向失败。 微软CEO纳德拉直言AI泡沫隐现，资本堆砌难掩生产率短板 微软CEO萨提亚·纳德拉发出警告，若人工智能的发展仅依赖资本堆砌而缺乏真实的生产率改善，市场 很可能正在形成泡沫。纳德拉指出，判断AI泡沫的一个明显信号，是行业讨论过度聚焦科技公司与技 术供给侧，却忽视实际需求与落地应用。AI的核心价值不在于持续加大资本投入，而在于推动企业改 变工作方式，让组织运作与AI的结构性特征相匹配。 DeepMind与Anthropic达沃斯交锋：AGI逼近，5年内或迎劳动力市场剧变 Deep ...

Core Viewpoint - Microsoft is experiencing significant growth in its cloud business, Azure, driven by surging demand for AI-capable cloud computing, but there are concerns regarding the sustainability of its capital expenditures and backlog growth [1][3][4]. Group 1: Azure Demand and Performance - Demand for Azure has led to a 40% year-over-year revenue increase in fiscal Q1 for "Azure and other cloud services" [3]. - The company's commercial remaining performance obligations (RPO) increased over 50% to nearly $400 billion, indicating strong customer demand for cloud services [4]. - Azure revenue growth is expected to be around 37% in constant currency for fiscal Q2, with ongoing capacity constraints anticipated [6]. Group 2: Capital Expenditures and Profitability - Capital expenditures reached $34.9 billion in fiscal Q1, driven by cloud and AI demand, with growth in capital expenditures expected to accelerate in fiscal 2026 compared to fiscal 2025 [8]. - Despite strong revenue growth, Microsoft's gross margin was 69%, slightly down from the previous year, attributed to investments in AI infrastructure [9]. - Free cash flow for the quarter was $25.7 billion, reflecting a 33% year-over-year increase, indicating robust cash generation despite rising expenditures [9]. Group 3: Stock Valuation and Market Sentiment - The stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of about 33, suggesting that much of the excitement around AI may already be priced in [10]. - There is uncertainty regarding how the market will react to the upcoming earnings report, leading to a cautious approach for potential investors [11].

Group 1: Microsoft Corporation - Third Point LLC increased its stake in Microsoft by 175% to 1.1 million shares as of September 30, 2025 [2] - Microsoft experienced strong earnings growth driven by Cloud and AI, beating consensus estimates in both Q4 FY25 and Q1 FY26 [2] - Microsoft signed a definitive agreement with OpenAI, resulting in a 27% stake in OpenAI Group PBC valued at approximately $135 billion [3] - Analyst Dan Ives suggests Microsoft could join Nvidia in the $5 trillion market capitalization club, indicating FY26 as a pivotal year for AI growth [4] - Over the past year, Microsoft declined 0.47%, underperforming the iShares U.S. Technology ETF, which gained about 18.88% [4] Group 2: Meta Platforms, Inc. - Third Point LLC increased its stake in Meta by 47% to 220,000 shares as of September 30, 2025 [5] - CEO Mark Zuckerberg stated that investments in smart glasses and augmented reality could lead to a highly profitable business [5] - Meta plans to invest over $600 billion in the U.S. by 2028 to enhance AI technology, data centers, and workforce capabilities [5] - Meta announced plans to invest more than $1 billion in a new data center in Wisconsin to support AI initiatives [6] - AI is improving user engagement and monetization by delivering more relevant content [6]

Core Viewpoint - Microsoft and Amazon, despite being competitors in the cloud sector, are united in addressing Washington's housing crisis, as evidenced by their joint op-ed and full-page advertisement in The Seattle Times [1] Group 1 - Both companies are advocating for solutions to the housing crisis in Washington, highlighting the importance of collaboration in addressing social issues [1] - The joint effort signifies a strategic alignment between Microsoft and Amazon beyond their competitive interests in the cloud market [1]

Group 1 - The stock market is experiencing volatility with significant earnings reports from major companies like Tesla, Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Apple expected this week [5][10] - President Donald Trump has threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Canadian goods if a trade deal with China is reached, which could impact market sentiment [5] - The Dow Jones and small-cap stocks have shown mixed performance, with Nvidia and Amgen nearing buy points, while some long-term underperformers are gaining traction [8][10] Group 2 - The upcoming week includes a Federal Reserve meeting, a federal funding deadline, and a heavy earnings schedule, which may influence market dynamics [6] - Tesla has made changes to its safety monitors in robotaxis, and CEO Elon Musk has issued warnings regarding Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology [10] - Boeing is expected to report its Q4 results soon, and several data storage stocks are also in the earnings spotlight [10]

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月25日 2026年01月24日 美股市场速览 弱于大市 整体市场平静，能源变数较大 价格走势：整体小幅回撤，小盘价值占优 本周，标普 500 跌 0.4%，纳斯达克跌 0.1%。 风格：小盘价值（罗素 2000 价值+0.2%）＞大盘价值（罗素 1000 价值-0.2%） ＞大盘成长（罗素 1000 成长-0.5%）＞小盘成长（罗素 2000 成长-0.8%）。 12 个行业上涨，12 个行业下跌。上涨的主要有：家庭与个人用品（+3.5%）、 能源（+3.1%）、材料（+2.7%）、汽车与汽车零部件（+2.2%）、制药生物 科技和生命科学（+1.8%）；下跌的主要有：银行（-2.8%）、综合金融（-2.7%）、 房地产（-2.3%）、技术硬件与设备（-2.0%）、公用事业（-1.9%）。 资金流向：整体流动与行业内流向均较缓 本周，标普 500 成分股估算资金流（涨跌额 x 成交量）为+5.6（亿美元， 下同），上周为-1.7，近 4 周为+104.1，近 13 周为+40.5。 11 个行业资金流入，13 个行业资金流出。资金流入的主要有：汽车与汽车 零部件（+9.2）、半 ...

Group 1: Market Reactions to Political Statements - The market has shown volatility in response to Trump's tariff statements, often pulling back before he softens his stance, indicating a negotiation tactic [2][3][5] - This pattern suggests that investors should focus on company fundamentals and data to identify potential buying opportunities during market fluctuations [5] Group 2: Upcoming Earnings Reports - A significant week is anticipated for big tech, with 32% of the S&P 500 set to report earnings, including major players like Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta [6][7] - Key areas of focus will include AI adoption and capital spending levels, which could reinvigorate interest in the AI trade [8] Group 3: Company-Specific Insights - Apple is expected to trade sideways in the near term, with a potential catalyst being the introduction of AI-enabled Siri, which could drive an upgrade cycle [10][11] - Microsoft will be closely watched for updates on Azure adoption and AI integration, while Amazon and Meta's capital spending comments will also be critical [13][14] - Meta needs to deliver positive surprises in advertising revenue and margin expansion to alleviate concerns about capital spending [15][16] Group 4: Semiconductor Industry Dynamics - Companies like Broadcom and Marvell are positioned to benefit from the ramp in AI and data center needs, as well as networking demands [18][21] - There is a concern about potential fatigue in the AI narrative, but as AI adoption increases, the demand for chips is expected to rise [19][20] Group 5: Economic Indicators and Federal Reserve Outlook - The upcoming Fed meeting is expected to maintain the current interest rates, with no rate cuts anticipated, despite ongoing economic data analysis [22][24] - The Cleveland Fed projects core PCE numbers to remain significantly above the 2% target, indicating a cautious approach from the Fed [23][24]

Core Viewpoint - Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT) is recognized as a long-term investment opportunity, despite recent adjustments in price targets and ongoing legal challenges [1][2][4]. Group 1: Price Target and Market Sentiment - Citi has lowered its price target for Microsoft from $690 to $660 while maintaining a 'Buy' rating, indicating a cautious outlook for the short term due to mixed reseller surveys and weaker PC demand [2]. - The reduction in estimates particularly affects Microsoft's non-Azure businesses, reflecting concerns over current market conditions [2]. Group 2: Azure and Growth Prospects - Azure is anticipated to exceed expectations in the upcoming fiscal Q2, serving as the primary earnings driver for Microsoft, which remains a top mega-cap investment idea [3]. - The company's diverse revenue streams from software, cloud services, and devices, particularly through its Azure platform, are crucial for sustained growth [5]. Group 3: Legal Challenges - Elon Musk is pursuing claims against OpenAI and Microsoft, alleging entitlement to wrongful gains from his early support of OpenAI, with Microsoft potentially benefiting between $13.3 billion and $25.1 billion [4]. - Both Microsoft and OpenAI have dismissed these claims as baseless, and while a jury trial is set for April, there is currently no immediate operational impact on Microsoft [4].