美股科技巨头合计计划在2026年投入6600亿美元用于AI基建，这一金额超过以色列的GDP，同比激增60%。亚马逊、微 软及谷歌因资本支出规模惊人且微软高度依赖OpenAI，导致三家公司市值蒸发9000亿美元。相比之下，苹果以极低资本 开支实现营收新高，成为唯一幸免于抛售潮的赢家。 硬·AI 作者 | 张雅琦 编辑 | 硬 AI 首席执行官Andy Jassy辩称，如此大规模的投资是为了在AI、芯片、机器人和卫星领域的繁荣做好准备。 他指出， 亚马逊云服务(AWS)营收增长24%证明投资开始取得回报。 微软遭遇的打击最为严重，自上周三公布财报以来股价下跌18%。尽管其云业务营收增长26%至515亿美 元，但这一增速略低于预期，且季度数据中心支出激增66%引发市场担忧。 微软还首次披露了其对OpenAI的依赖程度——在其6250亿美元的未来云合同账簿中，45%来自这家初创 公司，分析师对其过度依赖单一客户表示警惕。 即便是谷歌的创纪录盈利也未能缓解市场忧虑。母公司Alphabet首次实现年营收突破4000亿美元，2025 年利润达到1320亿美元，但将资本支出翻倍至1850亿美元的计划仍然拖累了股价。 美国科技 ...

Core Viewpoint - The record AI investment plans by major US tech companies are reigniting market fears of a bubble, leading to significant stock sell-offs despite strong earnings reports from most companies [1] Group 1: Investment Plans and Market Reactions - Amazon, Google, and Microsoft collectively lost $900 billion in market value after announcing plans to invest $660 billion in data centers and specialized chips by 2026, a 60% increase from $410 billion in 2025 and 165% from $245 billion in 2024 [1][2] - Amazon's capital expenditure for this year is projected to reach $200 billion, exceeding expectations by $50 billion, which contributed to an 11% drop in its stock price [2] - Microsoft experienced the most significant decline, with an 18% drop in stock price following its earnings report, despite a 26% increase in cloud revenue to $51.5 billion [2][3] Group 2: Investor Sentiment and Concerns - Rising capital expenditures signal that the realization of AI commitments may require more time and funding, testing investor confidence in long-term returns [3] - Analysts express concerns that Microsoft and Amazon must prove that their increased spending will yield attractive returns, as fears of an AI bubble resurface [3] - The Nasdaq index, heavily weighted with tech stocks, fell 4% over the past five days, reflecting a shift in market sentiment [3] Group 3: Company-Specific Developments - Apple's strategy of minimal capital investment has positioned it as a clear winner, reporting record quarterly revenue of $144 billion, while its capital expenditure decreased by 17% to $2.4 billion [5] - Apple's collaboration with Google to enhance its AI capabilities through a pay-as-you-go model has allowed it to benefit from AI advancements without significant capital outlay [5] - Nvidia, as the highest-valued public company, is expected to face a turbulent market when it releases its earnings report, as investors seek signs of a shift in spending related to AI [6]

2月5日晚间，全球市场大溃败，美股三大指数大跌，道指跌约600点，纳指跌近2%。 科技股集体下跌。 | 了 筛选 | | 最新价 : | 涨跌幅 : □ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 高通 | N | 137.61 | -7.58% | | us QCOM | | | | | 甲骨文 | | 140.00 | -4.55% | | US ORCL | | | | | 谷歌-C | | 318.32 | -4.51% | | us GOOG | | | | | 亚马逊 | 1 | 222.79 | -4.38% | | US AMZN | | | | | 帯電时 | | 191.47 | -4.00% | | us CRM | | | | | 美国超威公司 | | 192.70 | -3.74% | | US AMD | | | | | 特斯拉 | | 391.17 | -3.66% | | US TSLA | | | | | 微软 | | 400.13 | -3.41% | | US MSFT | | | | | Applovin Corporation | | 375.85 | ...

格隆汇2月6日｜据美国四大科技公司最新预测，2026年合计资本支出将达到约6500亿美元，这些科技巨 头的合计资本支出规模料较前一年增长约60%，这意味着全球数据中心建设浪潮将再次提速，资金将投 向新建数据中心，以及包括人工智能(AI)芯片、网络线缆、备用发电机在内的一长串设备。具体来看， Meta预计2026年资本支出将最高达到1350亿美元，增幅约87%；微软2026第二财季资本支出同比增长 66%；Alphabet周三公布了1850亿美元的资本支出计划；亚马逊在财报中预计2026年资本支出将高达 2000亿美元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Microsoft Corporation is facing increased competition in the artificial intelligence sector, particularly from Google and Anthropic, which has led to a downgrade of its stock by Stifel to "Hold" [1][2][4]. Group 1: Stock Performance and Analyst Actions - Stifel downgraded Microsoft's stock from "Buy" to "Hold" due to competitive pressures in the AI sector [2][5]. - A price target of $392 was set by Stifel, indicating a potential downside from the current trading price of $414.19, reflecting a price difference of approximately -5.36% [3][5]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The downgrade highlights the challenges Microsoft faces in maintaining its market position amidst growing competition in the AI industry [2][4][5]. - As the AI sector becomes more crowded, Microsoft must navigate these challenges to sustain its leadership in the technology industry [4].

Core Viewpoint - Microsoft is experiencing a significant stock decline despite strong underlying business performance, raising questions about whether this presents a buying opportunity for investors [1][2]. Financial Performance - Microsoft's fiscal second-quarter revenue increased by 17% year over year, or 15% on a constant-currency basis, with operating income rising 21% year over year to $38.3 billion [4]. - The productivity and business processes segment revenue grew 16% year over year to $34.1 billion, while the intelligent cloud segment saw a 29% year-over-year revenue increase to $32.9 billion, with Azure and other cloud services revenue climbing 39% [5][6]. - The "more personal computing" segment experienced a slight revenue decline of 3% year over year, contributing $14.3 billion during the period [7]. Growth Potential - Microsoft reported a commercial remaining performance obligation (RPO) of $625 billion, reflecting a 110% year-over-year increase, indicating strong future growth potential, particularly in cloud computing [8]. - The company anticipates that approximately 25% of this backlog, around $156 billion, will be recognized as revenue in the next 12 months, with 45% of the RPO balance linked to OpenAI [9]. Investment Considerations - The current price-to-earnings ratio of about 25 suggests that shares are not overvalued, but the significant capital expenditures of $37.5 billion, up 66% year over year, indicate heavy investment in AI infrastructure [10][11]. - Given the ongoing investment cycle, shares may be more suitable as a hold rather than a buy, although long-term investors in AI may find this a good entry point [12].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The latest financial reports from major tech giants indicate that the AI narrative is entering a new phase, where the market is systematically evaluating the actual contributions of AI to revenue structure, profitability, and cash flow, rather than just technological advancement or user scale [6][19] - Google has successfully integrated AI into its core businesses, enhancing profitability and operational efficiency, while Microsoft is focusing on building a new productivity ecosystem through AI, which may take longer to reflect in financial statements [6][21] - The differentiation in AI narratives is leading to a revaluation of companies based on their ability to demonstrate sustainable profitability from AI investments [21] Summary by Sections Google - Google reported a strong performance in Q4 2025, with revenue of $113.83 billion, up 18% year-on-year, and net profit of $34.46 billion, up 29.8% [9] - The cloud business saw a significant revenue increase of 48% year-on-year, driven by strong enterprise AI demand, with operating profit reaching $5.3 billion, reflecting a profit margin increase from 17.5% to 30.1% [11] - Capital expenditures for Google are projected to rise significantly, with $27.9 billion in Q4 2025 and an annual total of $91.4 billion, primarily focused on technology infrastructure [12] Microsoft - Microsoft achieved revenue of $81.3 billion in FY2026 Q2, a 17% increase year-on-year, with net profit rising 60% to $38.5 billion, influenced by OpenAI investment returns [15] - The Microsoft Cloud segment generated $51.5 billion in revenue, up 26%, indicating strong growth in enterprise AI and cloud services [15] - Azure's growth remains robust at nearly 40%, but there are signs of a slight slowdown in growth rate, with capital expenditures reaching $37.5 billion, focused on AI infrastructure [16][17]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the recent pullback in the AI industry is a necessary phase in the deep integration of AI technology into various sectors, rather than a fundamental threat to the industry's future [1][6] - It suggests that the current market concerns regarding the uncertainty of AI application business models and hardware demand are part of the industry's evolution, and that this pullback presents investment opportunities in AI applications, cloud services, and storage [2][6] Market Trends - Since mid-January 2026, the AI industry chain has experienced a continuous pullback, exacerbated by several events in early February, including Microsoft's financial report revealing dual concerns about growth dependency and investment returns [2][3] - Microsoft's Q2 2026 financial report indicated a slowdown in Azure cloud computing growth and projected capital expenditures exceeding $100 billion, with approximately 45% of its cloud business backlog dependent on OpenAI [3] - Concerns were also raised regarding NVIDIA's investment stance on OpenAI, with CEO Jensen Huang indicating a cautious approach to investment, despite previous indications of a potential $100 billion investment [4] Business Model Uncertainty - The report identifies dual uncertainties in the market: the uncertainty of AI application business models and the uncertainty of real demand [5][6] - It highlights that traditional SaaS companies may face challenges as enterprises consider building their own AI tools, potentially undermining SaaS profitability [5][6] - The report argues that the market's valuation logic is shifting from paying premiums for future potential to assessing current realities and investment returns [5] Long-term Outlook - The report posits that the concerns regarding business model and demand uncertainties are part of the necessary evolution towards deeper integration of AI technology, rather than a fundamental threat to the industry's prospects [6] - It suggests that traditional application vendors can leverage their industry knowledge and data advantages to build new barriers in the AI era, and that early movers may see valuation increases [6][7] - The demand for hardware is expected to grow in tandem with the maturity of software applications, as AI applications transition from "technology demonstrations" to "production tools" [7]

特朗普宣称，他觉得美联储下调美国基准利率这一举动"毋庸置疑"。他坚信自己所提名的下一任美联储主 席人选凯文·沃什能够领会他期望下调利率的立场。 美联储理事库克称，美联储近期须将通胀率拉回目标水平，这对维护其信誉至关重要。除非有更强证据显 示通胀持续回落至目标水平，且劳动力市场无意外变化，否则这仍是他的关注焦点。此外，库克表示货币 政策不应被用于管理政府债务。 海外央行方面，欧洲央行周四维持三大关键利率不变。欧洲中央银行当地时间5日在位于德国法兰克福的 总部召开货币政策会议，决定继续维持欧元区三大关键利率不变，符合市场预期。 中国基金报消息，美东时间2月5日（周四），道指下跌近600点，纳指与标普500指数连续第三个交易日下 跌。大型科技股多数下跌，微软跌近5%。原油下跌，白银重挫。比特币跌破65000美元/枚，抹去特朗普胜 选以来全部涨幅。 道指收跌近600点 标普指数抹去今年涨幅 道指跌592.58点，跌幅为1.20%，报48908.72点；纳指跌363.99点，跌幅为1.59%，报22540.59点；标普500 指数跌84.32点，跌幅为1.23%，报6798.40点。 原油下跌 白银重挫 Challen ...

Core Insights - Omdia's latest analysis indicates that AI, cybersecurity, robotics, and sustainability are accelerating their integration, reshaping the Pro AV market ahead of the Integrated Systems Europe (ISE) 2026 event in Barcelona, scheduled for February 3-6, 2026 [1] Group 1: AI-Driven AV Technology - AI is redefining the Pro AV industry, extending its impact beyond software to dedicated hardware innovations optimized for AI. Manufacturers are expected to showcase AI-driven AV technologies that upgrade professional displays from mere content playback devices to intelligent interactive terminals [2] - These displays will integrate multimodal perception capabilities, including visual, voice, and environmental awareness, combined with edge AI reasoning for real-time, personalized content presentation and adaptive content management [2] - A key challenge for the industry is scaling these solutions and promoting them across various verticals, which relies on ecosystem collaboration, supply chain maturity, and the continuous improvement of industry standards [2] Group 2: Unified Communication and Collaboration Ecosystem - Major collaboration platforms like Microsoft Teams, Zoom, and Google are expected to showcase integrated solutions aimed at simplifying Pro AV deployment and providing a consistent collaboration experience across various meeting spaces [2] - As enterprises continue to upgrade meeting rooms and office spaces, platforms such as Microsoft Teams, Zoom, and Google Meet are becoming standard for collaboration, leveraging their deep integration advantages within their ecosystems [2] - There is an increasing investment in officially certified collaboration display devices and video conferencing terminals optimized for Teams, Zoom, and Google Meet, although the lack of native interoperability between these platforms remains a significant challenge for enterprises seeking flexibility and a unified experience [3] Group 3: Emerging Display Technologies - Innovations in electronic paper technology are being pursued, with advantages such as glare-free and flicker-free displays, energy efficiency, and eye protection. However, current size limitations (primarily below 31.5 inches) restrict its application mainly to indoor or semi-outdoor environments [6] - Micro-LED technology is driving the transition of display products from "traditional screens" to "spatial interactive interfaces." While pixel pitch is not expected to shrink below 0.3mm in the short term, cost reductions and yield improvements are anticipated by 2026 [6] - The ISE 2026 event may also showcase higher brightness fixed-size outdoor displays, 21:9 all-in-one display products, larger OLED displays with professional AV characteristics, and other cutting-edge display technology products [6]