美国国会预算办公室预估：美国政府停摆已造成180亿美元的经济损失

Core Insights - The U.S. government shutdown is causing significant economic damage, with the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimating a loss of at least $18 billion this year, with $7 billion to $14 billion expected to be irretrievable depending on the duration of the shutdown [1] - If the shutdown extends into the sixth week, the actual GDP growth for Q4 is projected to be 1.5 percentage points lower than normal, equating to a loss of $28 billion in economic output [1] - A shutdown lasting eight weeks could increase the GDP impact to a 2% decline, resulting in a $39 billion loss [1] Economic Activity Impact - The CBO identifies several channels through which the government shutdown is dragging down overall economic activity, including reduced services from federal employees, decreased output in the private sector due to interrupted government contracts, and a reduction in government spending on goods, services, and food assistance [3] - Approximately 650,000 federal employees are currently on unpaid leave, which could push the unemployment rate up by 0.4 percentage points in October, marking the largest single-month increase since the pandemic began [1]