Starbucks (SBUX) Q4 Earnings Lag Estimates

Core Insights - Starbucks reported quarterly earnings of $0.52 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.55 per share, and down from $0.80 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -5.46% [1] - The company posted revenues of $9.57 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.61% and up from $9.07 billion year-over-year [2] - Starbucks shares have declined approximately 6.4% year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 17.2% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.62 on revenues of $9.65 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.58 on revenues of $38.55 billion [7] - The trend of estimate revisions for Starbucks was unfavorable prior to the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) for the stock, indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Retail - Restaurants industry, to which Starbucks belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 11% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges for stocks within this sector [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, highlighting the importance of monitoring these revisions for investment decisions [5]