深夜重磅！美联储降息25个基点

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has lowered the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75% to 4.00%, marking the fifth rate cut since September 2024 and the second consecutive meeting to do so, aligning with market expectations [1] Group 1: Economic Conditions - Current data indicates that the U.S. economy is expanding at a moderate pace, but uncertainty regarding the economic outlook remains high [1] - Inflation has risen this year and remains at elevated levels, with the policy committee closely monitoring risks related to its dual mandate [1] - The risk of a downturn in employment has increased, according to the Federal Reserve [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve Statements - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that existing data shows no significant change in the U.S. economic outlook, which is on a path of moderate expansion [1] - The government shutdown is expected to temporarily hinder economic activity [1] - Inflation levels are still slightly high, with recent inflation expectations having increased, necessitating management of the risk of prolonged inflation [1] Group 3: Market Expectations - Traders have reduced their bets on a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, with the probability now at 71%, down from a previous 90% [2]