专访能源基金会首席执行官兼中国区总裁邹骥：中国绿色转型最需弥合的差距是电力系统

Core Viewpoint - The global geopolitical landscape is undergoing significant changes, and as China concludes its 14th Five-Year Plan and prepares for the 15th, global climate governance is at a critical juncture, with the upcoming COP30 conference expected to inject new momentum into climate action [1] Group 1: China's Green Transition - The most urgent gap in China's green transition is in the electricity system, particularly the grid's capacity to accommodate renewable energy [1] - The average annual investment demand for green low-carbon initiatives in China is projected to reach approximately 6 trillion RMB over the next decade [1][6] - Key areas for investment should focus on economically viable renewable energy and energy efficiency technologies [1] Group 2: Emission Reduction Targets - China's NDC aims for a 7% to 10% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2035, covering all greenhouse gases, with carbon dioxide being the primary focus [2] - The main pathways for emission reduction include improving energy efficiency and transitioning the energy structure [2] Group 3: Challenges in Renewable Energy Development - The current capacity of China's grid to accommodate wind and solar power is less than 20%, indicating a significant gap in renewable energy integration [3] - The direct obstacle to further renewable energy development is the difficulty in grid connection, which is characterized by stability issues and insufficient flexible resources [3] Group 4: Investment in Electricity Infrastructure - Current annual investment in China's traditional electricity system ranges from 700 billion to 1 trillion RMB, with future investments needing to maintain this scale but shift focus towards enhancing grid capabilities rather than merely expanding coverage [4][5] - New investment directions will emphasize the construction of microgrids and the enhancement of distribution networks to support distributed renewable energy [5] Group 5: Global Climate Governance Challenges - The global climate governance landscape faces challenges due to changes in international order and governance ecology, including diminished political foundations of the UN mechanism and the diversification of governance actors [7] - The inclusion of circular economy in COP30 discussions is seen as a positive signal for global climate governance, emphasizing resource efficiency and reduced carbon emissions [9] Group 6: CCUS Technology Development - Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) is identified as a key negative emission technology, with its capture technology being relatively mature, while the storage aspect remains in the research phase [10] - China should prioritize the deployment of renewable energy technologies, energy efficiency improvements, and electric vehicle technologies as the main drivers for emission reductions over the next decade [10]