美联储降息25个基点 黄金跌破3930美元 加密货币近13万人爆仓 解读来了

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point cut in the federal funds rate target range to 3.75% to 4.00%, marking the fifth rate cut since September 2024 [2] - Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the decision for a rate cut in December is not guaranteed and may be influenced by uncertainties such as a potential government shutdown [6][8] - Traders have reduced their bets on a December rate cut, with the probability now at 65%, down from 90% prior to the meeting [7] Group 2 - Powell noted that a government shutdown could impact economic activity and that many American consumers remain dissatisfied with inflation [8] - The Fed's FOMC statement announced the end of balance sheet reduction on December 1, with Powell stating that market pressures necessitate immediate adjustments to balance sheet operations [9] - Following Powell's comments, U.S. stock markets experienced a downturn, with notable movements in tech stocks such as Nvidia and Apple, while Meta's stock fell over 8% after disappointing earnings [12] Group 3 - The two-year U.S. Treasury yield surged to 3.59%, and the dollar index rose, while onshore RMB depreciated against the dollar [13] - Bitcoin saw a decline, with approximately 130,000 traders liquidated in the past 24 hours, totaling around $558 million in liquidations [14][15] - Emerging markets are becoming more attractive as the Fed's rate cuts are expected to lower global financing costs and improve market conditions, potentially driving capital flows into these markets [16]