贺博生：10.30黄金原油震荡回落最新行情走势分析及今日独家多空操作建议

Market Overview - Recent market volatility has left many investors confused, often leading to losses due to frequent trading without a solid plan [1] - New investors are particularly prone to chasing trends, resulting in significant financial setbacks [1] Gold Market Analysis - On October 29, gold prices experienced a dramatic fluctuation, initially rising nearly 2% to reach a peak of $4029.90 per ounce due to safe-haven demand and Federal Reserve rate cut expectations [2] - Following the Fed's decision to cut rates by 25 basis points, hawkish comments from Chairman Powell dampened bullish sentiment, causing gold to drop to a low of $3916.56 per ounce, closing around $3930, marking a daily decline of approximately 0.57% [2] - The anticipation of a potential trade agreement between the U.S. and China has reduced gold's safe-haven appeal, contributing to a decline in demand [2] Technical Analysis of Gold - The daily chart shows a long upper shadow bearish candle, with prices breaking below the recent trading range [4] - Key resistance levels are identified at $3950 and $4000, while support is seen at $3910 and $3900 [4] - The recommendation is to wait for clearer bottom signals before entering long positions, with a focus on shorting during rebounds [4] Oil Market Analysis - International oil prices have declined for three consecutive days, with Brent crude falling below $65 per barrel, reflecting a cumulative drop of over 2% [5] - U.S. crude oil inventories decreased by approximately 4 million barrels, but regional supply-demand disparities are evident, particularly with rising inventories at the Cushing storage hub [5] - Overall market sentiment remains pessimistic, with concerns about potential oversupply leading to three months of declining oil prices [5] Technical Analysis of Oil - The daily chart indicates that oil prices have entered a consolidation phase after three consecutive bullish candles [6] - Short-term trends are bearish, with resistance levels at $62.5 to $63.5 and support at $59.0 to $58.0 [6] - The strategy suggested is to focus on buying on dips while considering short positions during price rebounds [6]