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卫星化学(002648):乙烷技改结束 高研发投入有望构建长期技术壁垒

Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 34.771 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.73%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.755 billion yuan, up 1.69% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 11.311 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.15% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.011 billion yuan, down 38.21% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - The company experienced a decline in production and sales due to routine maintenance and technical upgrades of two ethylene units and one ethylene oxide/ethylene glycol unit [1] - The maintenance and upgrades have been completed, indicating potential for high-quality production in the future [1] - The price of ethane slightly decreased, leading to an expansion of the ethylene-ethane price spread, although the profitability from this was not reflected in the current quarter due to the upgrades [1] - The C3 segment saw a slight downturn, with average price spreads for acrylic acid, methyl acrylate, and acrylonitrile decreasing by 499, 2819, and 74 yuan per ton respectively [1] Future Outlook - The company has secured long-term transportation capacity for 14 ethane transport vessels, which is expected to support future ethylene production capacity [1] - A new R&D center project has been initiated, focusing on catalysts, new energy materials, high polymer new materials, and functional chemicals, with planned R&D investment exceeding 10 billion yuan over the next five years [2] - Due to the impact of technical upgrades and non-recurring losses, the company's profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 5.329 billion, 7.046 billion, and 8.294 billion yuan respectively [2]