新国都(300130):毛利率回升 港股上市海外可期

Core Insights - The company's revenue and profit fell short of expectations, with Q1-3 2025 revenue at 2.343 billion yuan (down 4.15% YoY) and net profit at 408 million yuan (up 37.10% YoY) [1] - The company plans to list in Hong Kong to enhance its global strategy and accelerate overseas business expansion [2] - Despite short-term pressures on income and profit due to strategic investments, the company maintains a "buy" rating based on expected improvements in domestic and overseas markets [3] Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 816 million yuan (down 5.93% YoY) and net profit of 132 million yuan (up 187.18% YoY) [1] - The overall gross margin for Q3 2025 was 37.54%, the highest in four quarters, with previous quarters at 35.57%, 36.59%, and 31.90% [1] - The company experienced a negative operating cash flow of 80 million yuan in Q3 2025, primarily due to increased payments to suppliers and profit-sharing [2] Business Strategy - The increase in sales, management, and R&D expenses in Q3 2025 was attributed to new business initiatives, with growth rates of 12%, 17%, and 4% respectively [2] - The company is focusing on cross-border payment and AI applications, which require significant resource investment during their initial stages [2] - The company expects revenue growth from overseas payment terminals and improvements in domestic transaction fees and gross margins as the industry stabilizes [3] Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenues of 3.392 billion, 3.589 billion, and 3.821 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 738 million, 874 million, and 922 million yuan [3] - The rapid growth of the electronic payment device market overseas and successful progress in new business areas indicate significant long-term potential [3]