10.30 美联储表示下次暂缓降息，BTC将继续向下调整

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve unexpectedly lowered interest rates by 25 basis points, but the market had already priced in this news, leading to limited positive effects post-announcement [1] - The Fed's indication of pausing further rate cuts has been interpreted as a short-lived easing cycle, prompting a withdrawal of funds and resulting in a rapid market decline [1][3] - The overall market movement aligns with expectations, with a predicted rise to the 116,000-119,000 range, but a false breakout at 116,000 confirmed the end of the rebound, leading to a bearish stance near 117,000 [1] Group 2 - The primary factor for the significant decline is not the rate cut itself, but the change in future policy direction, indicating a shortened or halted path for further rate cuts, which limits liquidity for risk assets [3] - A three-day consecutive decline on the daily chart confirms a weak market structure, with a false breakout near 116,000 and a continuation of the bottoming phase [3] - The market remains in a volatile structure following previous declines, with a focus on short positions during rebounds, while key resistance is identified around 112,000 [3]