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杨德龙:美联储再次降息25个基点,延续本轮降息周期!美股科技牛市与A股市场科技牛行情的逻辑是一致的
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-30 02:49

Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points, aligning with market expectations due to weak employment and economic data, while inflation remains manageable [1][2] - The target range for the federal funds rate is now between 3.75% and 4% [1] - Two members of the Federal Reserve voted against the rate cut, indicating increasing division within the committee [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Employment growth has slowed, and the unemployment rate has increased, but remains low as of August [2] - Economic activity is expanding at a moderate pace, with inflation still at relatively high levels [2] - The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring layoffs, especially following significant job cuts by major companies [2] Group 3: Market Reactions - Following the rate cut, U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones reaching a peak of 48,040 points and the Nasdaq hitting 24,012 points, both marking intraday historical highs [3] - Nvidia's stock rose by 2.99%, pushing its market capitalization above $5 trillion, making it the first company to reach this milestone [3] Group 4: Sector Performance - The technology sector is attracting global capital, with rising valuations, although there are concerns about overvaluation risks [3][4] - The clean energy sector, including solar, storage, wind, and lithium battery industries, has seen significant gains, driven by the shift towards alternative energy sources [4] Group 5: U.S.-China Relations - A meeting between the U.S. and Chinese leaders is scheduled for October 30, which could positively impact trade negotiations and improve bilateral relations [5] - Successful trade negotiations would benefit both economies and contribute to global economic growth, providing a significant boost to capital markets [5]