美联储如期降息并将结束缩表，黄金ETF基金(159937)回调超1%，机构：金价阶段性调整后有望重回涨势

Core Insights - The trend of global central banks increasing gold reserves continues, with the People's Bank of China having added gold for 11 consecutive months, surpassing 2300 tons in total holdings [2] - The gold ETF market has seen record inflows, with a total of $26 billion in the third quarter of 2025, bringing total assets under management to $472 billion, nearing historical peaks [2] - The recent Federal Reserve interest rate cut and the end of balance sheet reduction are expected to support gold prices, alongside ongoing demand from central banks and ETFs [1][2] Market Performance - As of October 30, 2025, the gold ETF fund (159937) decreased by 1.07%, with a latest price of 8.58 yuan, while it had a 5.27% increase over the past month [1] - The trading volume for the gold ETF was 619 million yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 2.406 billion yuan over the past month, ranking it among the top three comparable funds [1] Future Outlook - The core logic driving gold prices upward remains unchanged, with ongoing uncertainties in U.S. trade policy and a weak dollar expected to persist [3] - The trend of de-dollarization and adjustments in global central bank foreign exchange reserves are anticipated to increase gold allocation demand [3] - The gold ETF has seen a net outflow of 381 million yuan recently, but over the past ten trading days, there were net inflows on six days, totaling 3.455 billion yuan [3]