场景多、成本降，多重利好！氢能从示范走向规模化 “绿色石油”激活万亿市场

Core Viewpoint - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the promotion of quantum technology, biomanufacturing, hydrogen energy, nuclear fusion energy, and embodied intelligence as new economic growth points, with a particular focus on the large-scale application of hydrogen energy, which is expected to activate a trillion-yuan market as costs continue to decrease and application scenarios expand [1]. Hydrogen Energy Industry Development - The hydrogen energy industry is advancing rapidly with diverse applications and decreasing costs, moving from demonstration projects to large-scale implementation [1]. - A demonstration project in Guangdong Foshan converts municipal waste into carbon powder and subsequently into hydrogen gas, achieving an annual production capacity of approximately 6,500 tons at a cost of 10 yuan per kilogram, indicating strong potential for large-scale application [4][6]. - The first mobile zero-carbon hydrogen generation vehicle has been launched, capable of producing 80 cubic meters of hydrogen per hour, providing a sustainable alternative to diesel generators for emergency power supply [12]. Technological Innovations - The "hydrogen-electric coupling" project in Ningbo aims to convert hydrogen back into electricity during peak demand, enhancing the efficiency of energy use [14]. - The cost of hydrogen fuel cell systems has significantly decreased, from nearly 10,000 yuan per kilowatt to below 2,000 yuan, improving the economic viability of hydrogen-powered heavy-duty trucks [18]. Industrial Applications - The largest integrated green hydrogen and ammonia project in the world is set to launch in Jilin, with a total investment of 29.6 billion yuan, creating a complete industrial chain from renewable energy generation to green hydrogen production [24]. - By 2035, China's total installed capacity of wind and solar power is expected to reach 3.6 billion kilowatts, with green hydrogen and ammonia playing a crucial role in utilizing this renewable energy [26]. Market Outlook - The cost of electrolysis for hydrogen production has decreased by nearly 50% since 2020, with further reductions anticipated as flexible hydrogen production technologies are promoted [29]. - By around 2030, the price of green hydrogen is projected to reach approximately 10 yuan per kilogram, making it economically viable for industrial applications and positioning it as a "green oil" alternative [31].