稀土概念午后爆发，“家里有矿，年内涨超有色”的矿业ETF（561330）今年以来涨超90%

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth sector has seen a significant surge, with the mining ETF (561330) rising over 90% year-to-date, driven by recent export control policies and price adjustments from major rare earth companies [1][2]. Policy Impact - Recent announcements regarding export controls on rare earth items and technologies have been made, aiming to strengthen China's dominance in the global rare earth market and enhance its pricing power [2]. - The export control measures are expected to solidify China's position as a "rules power" in the rare earth sector, moving from being merely a resource-rich country [2]. Market Dynamics - Following the export controls implemented in April, rare earth prices rebounded due to factors such as easing US-China tariff tensions and increased demand [2]. - The domestic and international demand for rare earth materials is anticipated to grow, with a potential whitelist system expected to be introduced, which may lead to a new round of price increases [2]. ETF Performance - The mining ETF (561330) has outperformed the CSI Nonferrous Metals Index by over 10% year-to-date, attributed to a more concentrated selection of leading stocks [3]. - The mining ETF tracks the CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index, which has a higher concentration of leading stocks, with the top ten constituents accounting for 56.98% of the index [3]. Sector Composition - The CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index has a higher proportion of gold, copper, and rare earths at 56.2%, compared to 52.5% in the CSI Nonferrous Index, indicating a stronger alignment with high-demand sectors [5]. Future Outlook - The copper supply remains tight, which is expected to support copper prices in the medium term [11]. - Gold is anticipated to see increased demand as a safe-haven asset due to global economic uncertainties, with long-term price support expected from potential Federal Reserve rate cuts and geopolitical tensions [11]. - The mining ETF (561330) currently has a scale of 813 million, ranking first among similar ETFs, providing superior liquidity and investment opportunities in the gold, copper, and rare earth sectors [11].