KCMTrade分析师Tim汇评 | 美联储降息与市场反应：鲍威尔的声明引发波动

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting was a key event this week, with a 25 basis point rate cut as expected, but the main focus was on Chairman Jerome Powell's comments regarding potential actions in December [1] - Powell's remarks dampened market expectations for another rate cut in December, leading to increased pessimism among investors regarding the likelihood of further cuts by year-end [1] - The strengthening of the US dollar and rising US Treasury yields were beneficiaries of the Fed's hawkish stance, with the dollar index (DXY) climbing back above 99 [1] Group 2 - The rebound in oil prices from last week's lows was influenced by US sanctions on Russian oil companies, raising concerns about the impact on crude imports from China and India [4] - Despite the recovery, speculation about OPEC+ potentially announcing further production increases in December limited the upside for oil prices [4] Group 3 - Over 83% of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings exceeding expectations during the ongoing Q3 earnings season, with a particular focus on technology giants expected to deliver robust earnings to support high valuations [6] Group 4 - The Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank are expected to maintain interest rates unchanged in their upcoming policy announcements, with the Japanese yen under pressure due to anticipated economic stimulus measures following the recent elections [7] - Japan's core CPI rose to 2.9%, above the 2% inflation target, which may lead the Bank of Japan to consider further rate hikes by year-end [7]