金荣中国：现货黄金等待指引，目前暂交投于3927美元附近

Fundamental Analysis - Gold prices experienced significant volatility, initially rising nearly 2% to reach a high of $4029.90 per ounce before dropping to a low of $3916.56, closing around $3930, marking a daily decline of approximately 0.57% [1] - The U.S. dollar index surged by 0.42% to close at 99.13, with an intraday high of 99.35, the highest since October 15 [3] - The yield on the 10-year Treasury note rose by 8.6 basis points to 4.081%, the largest single-day increase since June 6, while the 2-year yield increased by 10.8 basis points to 3.602%, reaching a one-month high [3] - The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75%-4.00%, but Chairman Powell's hawkish comments led to market disappointment, with the implied probability of a December rate cut dropping from 95% to 67.9% [4] Technical Analysis - The daily chart indicates that gold prices are under pressure, potentially challenging the $3900 level again, with a focus on testing the previous low of $3886 [8] - Short-term trading strategies suggest considering short positions near $3970 with a stop loss at $3980 and targets around $3930/3900, while aggressive long positions could be attempted near $3895 with a stop loss at $3886 and targets at $3945/3975 [9] Market Sentiment - The combination of a hawkish shift from the Federal Reserve, a strengthening dollar, and rising Treasury yields has increased the opportunity cost of holding gold, putting downward pressure on its price [5] - Investors are advised to closely monitor future statements from Federal Reserve officials, developments in U.S.-China negotiations, and decisions from central banks in Japan and Europe [5]