Sinomine(SZ:002738) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-10-30 08:41Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant increase in revenue for Q1-Q3 2025, but a substantial decline in net profit, primarily due to the performance of its lithium and copper segments [1][2]. Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 4.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.0%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 200 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 62.6% [1]. - In Q3 2025, revenue reached 1.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.2% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 10.3%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 120 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 58.2%, marking a return to profitability [1]. - The adjusted net profit for Q3 was also 120 million yuan, indicating a turnaround from previous losses [1]. Lithium Segment - The rise in lithium prices is expected to contribute positively to the company's performance, with the average domestic lithium carbonate price at 73,000 yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.0% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.7% [1]. - The company is implementing cost-reduction strategies, which are anticipated to help the lithium business return to profitability in Q3 [1]. Copper Segment - The copper smelting segment continues to negatively impact overall performance, with losses expected to decrease significantly starting in Q4 2025 [1]. - In H1 2025, global copper concentrate shortages led to a significant drop in copper smelting processing fees, resulting in a loss of approximately 200 million yuan from the Namibia copper smelting operations [1]. - The company plans to implement cost-cutting and efficiency measures to mitigate losses, with expectations of reduced losses in Q4 [1]. Project Development - The copper and gallium-germanium projects are progressing as planned, with the copper project expected to contribute profits starting in 2025 [2]. - The company aims to complete the acquisition of a 65% stake in the Kitumba copper mine in Zambia by 2024, with plans for integrated copper production capacity of 60,000 tons [2]. - The gallium-germanium project in Namibia is also on track, with plans to complete the acquisition of a 98% stake by August 2024 and to produce qualified products by the end of 2025 [2]. Investment Outlook - The company is focused on reducing costs in lithium production and maintaining its competitive advantages in cesium and rubidium, while also developing new profit growth points through copper and gallium-germanium projects [3]. - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated at 460 million, 1.22 billion, and 3.63 billion yuan, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 85, 32, and 11 times based on the closing price on October 29 [3].