当“首席交易员”已不够了，特朗普要亲自“开场子”了？

Core Insights - Trump is expanding his influence in financial markets by launching a prediction market service called Truth Predict through his media company, in partnership with Crypto.com [1][2] - The timing of this move is notable, given ongoing scrutiny regarding potential insider trading and stock price manipulation involving Trump and his family [1][4] - Prediction markets are gaining traction on Wall Street, with significant investments from traditional financial giants, indicating a shift from a niche concept to mainstream acceptance [9][10] Group 1: Company Developments - Trump Media Technology Group is launching Truth Predict on its social platform Truth Social, allowing users to bet on outcomes in sports, entertainment, politics, and economics [1][2] - The service will undergo beta testing before a full rollout in the U.S. and plans for global expansion once regulatory requirements are met [2] - The partnership with Crypto.com is part of a broader strategy to deepen ties with the cryptocurrency industry, following previous collaborations [2] Group 2: Market Trends - The prediction market sector has seen a surge in trading volume, with over $2.3 billion traded last week, marking a historical high [1][9] - Major players like Polymarket and Kalshi are leading this trend, with Polymarket's valuation nearing $15 billion after receiving a $2 billion investment from the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange [10] - Traditional financial institutions, including the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, are entering the prediction market space, further legitimizing this emerging financial avenue [10] Group 3: Controversies and Scrutiny - Trump's entry into the prediction market comes amid ongoing allegations of insider trading linked to his family and associates, raising concerns about market manipulation [4][8] - Notable incidents include significant stock price movements preceding major announcements, suggesting potential misuse of information [4][5] - The scrutiny extends to other political figures associated with Trump, highlighting a broader concern regarding the integrity of trading practices within this circle [8]