Group 1 - The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut, which was anticipated, but market reactions were volatile due to comments made by Powell during the press conference [3][4] - Powell indicated uncertainty regarding further rate cuts in December, stating that the committee is leaning towards a pause to observe economic conditions [4][5] - There were two dissenting votes within the FOMC, one advocating for a 50 basis point cut and the other for no change, highlighting increasing internal divisions [5][6] Group 2 - The U.S. macroeconomic situation is complex, with concerns about tariffs impacting inflation, despite September's inflation remaining moderate [6][7] - The likelihood of a December rate cut appears diminished, but the overall direction for future cuts remains intact, influenced by political factors and economic conditions [8][9] - The U.S. job market shows signs of slowing growth, which could affect the Fed's future decisions on interest rates [10] Group 3 - In China, there is potential for interest rate cuts as the central bank resumes purchasing government bonds, indicating a further easing stance [11] - The A-share market is expected to continue a slow upward trend, despite structural challenges in generating profits for investors [12] - The performance of technology stocks in both the U.S. and China may be influenced by the Fed's decisions and market dynamics, raising questions about future adjustments in these sectors [12]
美联储欲降还休,市场接下来将如何演绎?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-30 09:41