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存储芯片涨价“风暴” 超级周期站上起点

Core Viewpoint - The storage chip industry is experiencing a significant price surge driven by strong demand for AI computing power, leading to a "super cycle" in the market [4][6][11]. Market Dynamics - The storage chip index has risen by 59.42% over the past three months, with some DRAM and Flash products reportedly ceasing to be quoted or experiencing daily price fluctuations [4][10]. - Major tech companies are heavily investing in AI infrastructure, which is driving massive demand for storage chips, particularly HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) [7][11]. Price Trends - In the first half of 2025, the DRAM price index is expected to increase by 47.7%, while NAND Flash prices are projected to rise by 9.2% [6][8]. - The price of 512Gb Flash Wafers has increased by over 20% since October [6]. Company Performance - Domestic storage companies are benefiting from the shift in focus towards high-margin products like HBM and DDR5, with significant stock price increases observed [5][10]. - Companies like Jiangbolong and De Ming Li have seen stock price increases of 210.89% and 160.95%, respectively, despite some reporting losses [5][10]. Supply Chain Adjustments - Major manufacturers like Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix are reducing production due to weak NAND Flash demand and price pressures, creating opportunities for domestic firms [8][9]. - The average DRAM inventory has dropped to 8 weeks, indicating a tightening supply [8]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the current price surge will continue, with expectations of further increases in DRAM and NAND Flash prices in the coming quarters [18]. - The global storage market is projected to reach $300 billion by 2027, indicating a long-term growth trajectory [6].