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国盛证券:维持小鹏汽车-W“买入”评级 目标价126港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-30 11:17

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities expresses optimism about XPeng Motors' strong product cycle, overseas expansion, advancements in intelligent driving, and emerging business opportunities in robotics and Robotaxi [1] Group 1: Sales and Financial Projections - Guosheng Securities forecasts XPeng's sales to reach approximately 450,000, 680,000, and 1,010,000 units from 2025 to 2027, with total revenues of 80.6 billion, 133.3 billion, and 188.5 billion yuan respectively [1] - The non-GAAP net profit margins are projected to be -1.5%, 3.4%, and 5.2% for the same years [1] - The target price for XPeng is set at 126 HKD and 32.4 USD [1] Group 2: AI Development and Technological Advancements - XPeng's AI team has been developing a physical AI foundational model for over a year, with a significant breakthrough expected to be announced at the upcoming AI Technology Day [1] - The "XPeng World Foundation Model" is being developed with 72 billion parameters, which is approximately 35 times larger than mainstream VLA models [1] - The model's training speed has improved by 5 times due to the development of a proprietary data infrastructure, enhancing data upload scale by 22 times and training data bandwidth by 15 times [1] Group 3: Competitive Edge in Robotics and Intelligent Driving - XPeng's software models for mobility and robotics are interconnected, allowing for rapid deployment of AI capabilities across various platforms, including AI cars and robots [2] - The self-developed Turing chip provides higher effective computing power at a lower cost, with a single chip equivalent to three Orin-X chips, and future models expected to achieve 3000 TOPS of computing power [2] - The company is positioned to lead in the domestic automotive sector with enhanced driving assistance experiences and has full-stack self-research capabilities in robotics [2] Group 4: Comparison with Competitors - Tesla is also advancing in high-performance chip development and has introduced a "world simulator" that enhances its AI capabilities for both vehicles and robots [2] - Tesla's fourth-generation hardware aims to significantly increase AI parameters, while the next-generation AI5 chip is expected to enhance computing power by tenfold at the same cost [2] - Both XPeng and Tesla share similarities in their technological approaches and business strategies, with expectations for breakthroughs in physical AI [2]