苏农银行(603323)2025年三季报点评:盈利增长韧性高 风险抵补能力强

Core Viewpoint - Su Nong Bank reported stable revenue and resilient profit growth in the first three quarters of 2025, with a slight increase in net profit and a decrease in return on equity [1][2]. Revenue and Profitability - The bank achieved operating income of 3.22 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.71 billion, up 5% year-on-year [1]. - The annualized weighted average return on equity was 12.03%, down 0.88 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - Revenue growth rates for net interest income and non-interest income were -3.8% and 7.9%, respectively, with changes of -0.9 and +2.4 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [2]. Asset and Loan Growth - As of the end of Q3 2025, the growth rates for interest-earning assets and loans were 9.7% and 8.7%, respectively, showing improvements of 3.5 and 4.5 percentage points from the end of Q2 2025 [3]. - New loans in Q3 amounted to 1.6 billion, with significant increases in corporate loans, while retail and bill loans showed minor changes [3]. Deposit Growth and Structure - The growth rates for interest-bearing liabilities and deposits were 8.7% and 7.1%, respectively, with increases of 6.4 and 2.9 percentage points from mid-year [4]. - In Q3, deposits increased by 4 billion, with a notable rise in time deposits, indicating a continued trend towards more stable funding sources [4]. Net Interest Margin (NIM) and Cost Management - The bank's net interest margin faced pressure, with a decrease of 3 basis points compared to the first half of the year and 12 basis points year-on-year [5]. - The cost of interest-bearing liabilities decreased by 3 basis points, suggesting potential for further reduction in funding costs [5]. Non-Interest Income and Asset Quality - Non-interest income reached 1.16 billion, growing by 7.9% year-on-year, with a significant increase in fee and commission income [6]. - The bank maintained a low non-performing loan ratio of 0.9% and a high provision coverage ratio of 355.9%, indicating stable asset quality [6]. Capital Adequacy - As of the end of Q3 2025, the bank's core tier 1, tier 1, and total capital adequacy ratios were 10.76%, 10.76%, and 12.88%, respectively, with a slight decline from mid-year [7]. - The bank's capital adequacy provides a solid foundation for future growth and expansion [7]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The bank benefits from its local market position and is expected to continue growing, although challenges remain due to subdued financing demand and pressure on net interest margins [8]. - Adjusted earnings per share forecasts for 2025-2027 are 1.00, 1.05, and 1.11, with corresponding price-to-book and price-to-earnings ratios indicating potential for investment [8].