巴西全国工业联合会小幅下调工业增长预测

Core Viewpoint - The Brazilian National Confederation of Industry (CNI) has slightly revised down its industrial growth forecast due to a sharp slowdown in the manufacturing sector, while maintaining its GDP growth prediction for 2025 at 2.3% [1] Group 1: Industrial Growth Forecast - CNI has lowered the industrial growth rate from 1.7% to 1.6% [1] - The downward revision is primarily attributed to a significant slowdown in the manufacturing sector, which is facing three adverse factors: declining demand for industrial goods, a surge in imports, and increased tariffs from the United States [1] - The growth forecast for manufacturing has plummeted from an initial 1.9% to the current 0.7% [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - Despite the negative impact on manufacturing, the performance of the extraction industry has exceeded expectations, helping to mitigate the overall downward adjustment in industrial growth forecasts [1] - CNI anticipates that agricultural income will drive an 8.3% growth in the agricultural sector this year [1] - The service sector is expected to grow by 2%, benefiting from an improving job market and increased federal government spending [1]