行情结束？明天A股怎么走？预测出来了...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced significant volatility today, with major indices declining; the ChiNext index fell nearly 2%, and the Shanghai Composite Index dropped below the 4000-point mark [1] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.42 trillion, an increase of 165.6 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - Over 4000 stocks declined, with strong performance in lithium mining, quantum technology, battery, and energy storage sectors, while computing hardware and gaming sectors faced significant losses [1] Reasons for Decline - The 4000-point level is a critical psychological and technical threshold, leading to sensitive investor sentiment; despite positive news from US-China trade talks and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, the market reacted negatively [2] - High holding ratios in public funds for TMT sectors, particularly in AI, led to potential adjustments in institutional positions, exacerbating volatility in popular sectors [2] - A short-term fluctuation in the RMB exchange rate around 1 PM affected foreign capital, potentially triggering preset exit or risk control measures [2] - The Federal Reserve's announcement of a 25 basis point rate cut on October 30 may have diminished its short-term stimulative effect on the market [2] - Underperformance of leading stocks in the optical module sector, such as Xinyi and Tianfu Communication, negatively impacted market sentiment, with declines of nearly 8% and over 10% respectively [2] Strategic Outlook - The recent pullback in A-shares and the decline in technology stocks are viewed as a healthy correction rather than an end to the market rally; the market is expected to oscillate around the 4000-point level in the short term [4] - Long-term bullish sentiment remains, with anticipation for renewed upward momentum once significant positive news emerges or excess speculative positions are absorbed [4] Relevant News Analysis - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority encourages the issuance of long-term pension financial products, which may attract long-term capital into the market, benefiting financial sectors such as banks and insurance companies [4] - A policy to optimize duty-free shop management aims to boost consumption and support domestic products, positively impacting the retail sector, especially duty-free operators and consumer goods companies [5] - The Federal Reserve's cautious stance on future rate cuts introduces uncertainty, although the initial rate cut is seen as beneficial for market liquidity [7] - Nvidia's market capitalization surpassing $5 trillion indicates strong demand for AI computing, which could benefit A-share companies in the AI infrastructure space [8] - Central banks globally purchased a net total of 220 tons of gold in Q3, reflecting increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, which may positively impact gold mining companies [11] - The launch of DeepSeek's new model may trigger a revolution in optical computing, benefiting companies involved in AI and quantum computing technologies [12]