Ge Long Hui·2025-10-30 19:50Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight increase in revenue and a positive turnaround in net profit for Q3 2025, indicating stable growth in lending and a supportive liability structure for interest margins [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue increased by 0.7% year-on-year, compared to a 0.8% increase in H1 2025 [1] - Q3 2025 net profit rose by 1.1% year-on-year, contrasting with a 0.9% decline in H1 2025 [1] - The annualized net interest margin for Q3 2025 increased by 2 basis points to 1.24% [1] - Annualized asset yield decreased by 9 basis points to 2.76%, while the cost of interest-bearing liabilities fell by 11 basis points to 1.67% [1] Loan and Deposit Growth - Interest-earning assets grew by 10.3% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with loans increasing by 8.9% [1] - Corporate loans (including bills) rose by 12.6%, while retail loans grew by 1.2% [1] - Interest-bearing liabilities increased by 10.1% year-on-year, with deposits up by 8.3% [1] Credit Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 1.24% in Q3 2025 [2] - The NPL generation rate increased by 7 basis points year-on-year to 0.54% [2] - The provision coverage ratio decreased by 79 basis points to 196.6%, with the loan-to-provision ratio at 2.43% [2] Sector Performance - In H1 2025, corporate credit showed good growth in public finance and manufacturing, while retail maintained positive growth [1] - The NPL ratio for corporate loans decreased by 6 basis points to 1.18%, while the retail NPL ratio increased by 16 basis points to 1.02% [2][3] Capital Adequacy - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio increased by 1 basis point to 12.58% [3] Investment Recommendation - The company is recommended for stable growth, with projected price-to-book ratios of 0.71X, 0.62X, and 0.58X for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E respectively, and price-to-earnings ratios of 7.45X, 6.66X, and 6.57X [3] - The company is characterized as a state-owned bank with stable operations and asset quality, presenting a high margin of safety in valuation and high dividend yield [3]