Ge Long Hui·2025-10-30 21:14Core Insights - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (Sinopec) reported Q3 2025 earnings slightly below expectations, with operating revenue of 704.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.5% [1] Group 1: Oil and Gas Exploration - The exploration segment's profit declined year-on-year due to falling oil and gas prices, with oil equivalent production reaching 132 million barrels, an increase of 3% year-on-year. Crude oil production increased by 1% and natural gas production increased by 4%, while crude oil prices fell by 15% and natural gas prices fell by 8%, leading to a 2% increase in segment revenue but a 10% decrease in operating profit [1] Group 2: Refining and Product Supply - Refining processing volume was 66 million tons, an increase of 3.8% year-on-year, with gasoline production down by 2.8%, diesel down by 0.3%, kerosene up by 10.5%, and chemical light oil up by 7.1%. Total sales of refined oil products were 59 million tons, a decrease of 5% year-on-year, attributed to ongoing demand weakness due to electrification. However, refining profits improved year-on-year, with refining unit profit at 1 USD per barrel of oil equivalent, an improvement of 1.3 USD per barrel [1] Group 3: Chemical Sector - The chemical sector faced significant profit pressure due to the continuous release of new domestic capacity, resulting in a unit profit loss of 0.8 USD per barrel of oil equivalent, which is an increase in loss by 0.3 USD per barrel [2] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 is maintained at 43.5 billion, 53.6 billion, and 64.1 billion yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 15, 12, and 10 times. Assuming a dividend payout ratio of 70%, the expected dividend yield for A-shares in 2025 is 4.6%, 5.6%, and 6.7%, while for H-shares it is 6.6%, 8.2%, and 9.7%. The investment rating remains "Buy" [2]