【数说经济】消费投资协同发力扩内需

Core Viewpoint - The expansion of domestic demand is not merely about the simple addition of consumption and investment, but rather about allowing the continuously upgrading consumption demand to guide investment direction and drive transformation, while efficient and precise investment enhances supply quality and creates new consumption demand, thus injecting lasting momentum into China's high-quality economic development [2][6] Group 1: Economic Contributions - In the first three quarters, final consumption expenditure contributed 53.5% to economic growth, while capital formation contributed 17.5%, indicating that domestic demand remains a solid foundation for China's economic development and response to challenges [2] - As a super-large economy, China possesses advantages in leading with domestic demand and internal circulation, making it crucial to correctly understand the dialectical relationship between consumption and investment to promote an economic development model driven by domestic demand and consumption [2] Group 2: Misconceptions in Practice - There are misconceptions that view consumption and investment as opposing forces, believing that increasing consumption necessarily crowds out investment or that expanding investment suppresses consumption [3] - Another misconception is the separation of short-term and long-term benefits, either overemphasizing the immediate growth from investment while neglecting the foundational role of consumption or assuming that a slowdown in investment growth indicates a contraction in investment space [3] - The tendency to focus on scale over efficiency leads to traditional expansion approaches that overlook the structure, quality, and efficiency of investment [3] Group 3: Dynamic Development Perspective - The aspiration for a better life among the populace drives continuous upgrades in consumption structure, guiding various factors towards fields that meet future development needs [4] - Forward-looking investments, especially breakthroughs in technological innovation, can create new products and services, stimulating new consumption demand, as evidenced by the rise of industries like smartphones and new energy vehicles [4] Group 4: Policy Recommendations - Accelerating the filling of consumption shortfalls requires economic policies to focus more on improving livelihoods and promoting consumption, including enhancing the income distribution system to increase residents' consumption capacity [5] - Investment in key areas and weak links remains significant, with a focus on major projects that strengthen the foundation, enhance long-term benefits, and align with national strategies for high-quality development [5] - Continuous optimization of the business environment and removal of barriers to private investment are essential to enhance the confidence and capability of private enterprises [5]