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法兴银行:市场对美联储降息预期仍过于乐观

Core Viewpoint - The market's pricing of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy easing is considered overly optimistic despite Chairman Powell's indication that a rate cut in December is not guaranteed [1] Group 1: Economic Conditions - The recent two rate cuts were preemptive measures in anticipation of a deteriorating labor market, but further rate cuts may now be limited [1] - The economy is described as being in a relatively strong state, while inflation expectations remain sticky [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve's Strategy - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) continues to monitor the labor market, but inflation has consistently exceeded target levels since March 2021 [1] - Decision-makers may aim to simultaneously manage inflation control while preventing economic downturns, indicating a challenging balance [1]