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科技集体回调,大消费逆市走强,古井贡酒大涨6%,食品饮料ETF(159843)涨超1%
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-10-31 07:12

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the liquor industry, particularly the white liquor sector, is in a "supply clearing" phase, with expectations for accelerated clearing as Q3 earnings reports are released [1][2] - Leading companies in the food and beverage sector, such as Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye, have released their Q3 earnings reports, which are anticipated to reflect the industry's recovery [1] - Pacific Securities suggests that the current phase of the liquor industry shows strong similarities to the adjustment period from 2013 to 2015, indicating a potential buying opportunity [1][2] Group 2 - The valuation recovery of the liquor sector is expected to occur in two stages, with the first stage driven by improved demand and market expectations for performance and pricing [1][2] - The second stage of valuation recovery is anticipated when the supply-demand relationship improves, leading to a return of market confidence in the long-term value of liquor assets, with an expected industry PE central of 30x by Q4 2026 [2] - The current PE ratio of the National Food Index is approximately 21 times, which is lower than over 90% of the time in the past five years, indicating potential for valuation recovery [2]