Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan maintains a "Buy" rating for China Pacific Insurance (02328), setting a target price of HKD 22.82 with a P/B ratio of 1.6x for 2025 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's net profit increased by 50.5% year-on-year, driven by improvements in underwriting profitability and investment services [1] - Underwriting profit reached CNY 14.865 billion, up 130.7% year-on-year, while total investment income was CNY 35.9 billion, reflecting a 33.0% increase [1] - As of Q3 2025, the company's net assets attributable to shareholders grew by 12.3% compared to the beginning of the year, indicating stable growth [1] Group 2: Premium Income and Loss Ratios - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company's property and casualty insurance premium income rose by 3.5% year-on-year, with motor insurance premiums increasing by 3.1% due to stable growth in vehicle ownership and recovery in average premiums [2] - Non-motor insurance premium income grew by 3.8%, primarily driven by the growth in health insurance [2] - The combined ratio (COR) improved by 2.1 percentage points to 96.1%, attributed to reduced catastrophe claims and enhanced cost control measures [2] Group 3: Investment Performance - The company achieved an annualized total investment return of 5.4% in the first three quarters of 2025, an increase of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, benefiting from a rising capital market and optimized asset allocation [2] - The recovery in the equity market and significant improvement in expense ratios are seen as catalysts for the company's stock price [2]
国泰海通:维持中国财险“增持”评级 目标价22.82港元