|安迪|&2025.10.31黄金原油分析：黄金震荡行情多空都有机会

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The core viewpoint is that the gold market is currently supported by safe-haven demand due to ongoing risks of a U.S. government shutdown and uncertainties in fiscal and political matters, but lacks strong buying momentum to break through the $4050 resistance level [2] - Market consensus indicates that gold prices are likely to oscillate between $3900 and $4050 in the short term, with a potential breakout contingent on a sustained decline in the U.S. dollar [2][3] - Technical analysis shows that gold has established a temporary bottom around $3900, with the key resistance at $4050 determining the short-term trend direction [3] Group 2: Technical Analysis - The focus is on the critical support and resistance levels, with $4050 as the main resistance that needs to be breached for a confirmed short-term bullish trend [3] - If gold prices can stabilize above $4050, subsequent targets would be $4100 and $4150, indicating further potential for upward movement [3] - Conversely, if prices fall below $3980, it would signal a weakening of the rebound momentum, possibly leading to a retest of the $3900 support level [3] Group 3: Market Outlook - The gold market is in a sensitive phase influenced by both policy and sentiment, with a weak rebound pattern prevailing due to the interplay of the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and easing trade relations [4] - The overall market remains in a weak rebound structure, lacking clear upward momentum [4] Group 4: Trading Strategies - The trading strategy emphasizes the importance of positioning within the current oscillating market, focusing on potential short-term rebounds [5][7] - Key trading levels include a focus on the $4025-$4028 resistance zone for short-term pullback opportunities, with a stop-loss set above $4045 [8] - Downward targets are set at the $3980-$3960 range, where a stabilization signal could prompt a shift back to long positions [9]