江沐洋：10.31今日黄金走势分析及操作思路，关注月线收官

News Summary Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have rebounded this week, trading around $4003 after hitting a low of $3900 on October 6, driven by increased investor risk aversion due to concerns over a potential long-term U.S. government shutdown [1] Market Analysis - The market sentiment has shifted towards safe-haven assets like gold due to fears of a prolonged government shutdown in the U.S. [1] - The Federal Reserve's recent meeting indicated uncertainty regarding a rate cut in December, which has been interpreted as a hawkish signal, leading to a rise in U.S. Treasury yields and limiting gold's rebound [1] - A recent trade easing agreement between the U.S. and Asian countries during the APEC meeting has reduced global risk aversion, diminishing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [1] Technical Analysis - Gold formed a bullish candlestick pattern, ending a four-day losing streak, which was unexpected given the fundamental pressures from the uncertainty around the December rate cut [2] - The market is currently exhibiting complex emotions, with signs of a potential emotional trading resurgence [2] - The price action suggests a shift to a range-bound trading expectation, with key resistance levels at $4070-$4080 and support around $3980 [4] Trading Strategy - The trading strategy involves focusing on the range between $3980 and $4050/60 for short-term trades, with adjustments based on market movements [4] - Aggressive positions can be taken near $4003, targeting levels around $4020-$4030 [4]