TNMG(SZ:000630) Xin Lang Zheng Quan·2025-10-31 09:10Core Viewpoint - Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Co., Ltd. is one of the largest cathode copper producers in China, with a complete industrial chain and advanced processing capabilities [1] Group 1: Business Performance - In Q3 2025, Tongling Nonferrous achieved operating revenue of 121.893 billion yuan, ranking 5th in the industry, surpassing the industry average of 89.055 billion yuan and the median of 56.687 billion yuan, but significantly lower than the top two competitors, Jiangxi Copper at 396.047 billion yuan and Zijin Mining at 254.2 billion yuan [2] - The net profit for the same period was 2.268 billion yuan, also ranking 5th in the industry, above the median of 0.803 billion yuan but below the industry average of 5.201 billion yuan, with a considerable gap from the leaders Zijin Mining at 45.701 billion yuan and Luoyang Molybdenum at 16.488 billion yuan [2] Group 2: Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, the debt-to-asset ratio for Tongling Nonferrous was 52.18%, slightly higher than the previous year's 51.36% but lower than the industry average of 54.12% [3] - The gross profit margin for the same period was 7.15%, down from 7.57% year-on-year and below the industry average of 10.36% [3] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders decreased by 6.59% to 269,200, while the average number of circulating A-shares held per household increased by 13.31% to 41,400 [5] - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited held 270 million shares, an increase of 45.033 million shares, while Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF reduced its holdings by 6.346 million shares [5] Group 4: Management Compensation - The total compensation for General Manager Wen Yan was 742,200 yuan in 2024, an increase of 134,700 yuan compared to 607,500 yuan in 2023 [4] Group 5: Analyst Ratings and Forecasts - Western Securities initiated coverage on Tongling Nonferrous with a "Buy" rating, predicting EPS of 0.27, 0.41, and 0.43 yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 18, 12, and 11 times, and a target price of 6.14 yuan per share for 2026 [5] - Huaan Securities also initiated coverage with a "Buy" rating, forecasting net profits of 3.362 billion, 5.084 billion, and 5.768 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with PE ratios of 16.48, 10.90, and 9.60 times [6] - Key business highlights include a complete industrial chain layout, resource self-sufficiency improvements from the Mirador Phase II project, and advantageous transportation costs due to geographical positioning [6]