10月降水创历史第三多，未来10天冷空气频繁但势力偏弱

Core Insights - The overall weather characteristics in China for October were marked by "warm at the beginning and cold at the end, significantly above-average precipitation, frequent cold air events, and more typhoons making landfall" [2][3] Weather Characteristics - The average national temperature in October was 11.1°C, close to the historical average, with a notable warm spell in the first half of the month followed by a significant drop in temperature [2] - There were three significant cold air events affecting the central and eastern regions, leading to early winter conditions in several areas, with some regions experiencing temperatures dropping by 8-14°C [2] - The average precipitation for October was 51.5 mm, which is 51.8% above the historical average, making it the third-highest for this period [3] - October saw six instances of heavy rainfall, with local flooding reported in provinces such as Shandong, Hebei, and Sichuan [3] - Four typhoons formed in October, with one making landfall, causing heavy rainfall in Guangdong and Guangxi, with the highest recorded rainfall reaching 369.4 mm [3] Future Weather Predictions - For the next ten days, cold air activity is expected to be frequent but relatively weak, with temperatures in most northern regions expected to be 1-3°C above or close to the historical average [4] - The southwest region and parts of southern China are forecasted to experience significant rainfall, with potential for heavy rain in specific areas [4] - The climate trend for November indicates that northeastern and eastern Inner Mongolia will experience lower temperatures and above-average precipitation, while other regions may see temperatures close to or above average [4] Risk Prevention Measures - There are three key risk prevention measures highlighted for November: 1. Prepare for low-temperature rain and snow disasters in northern regions, particularly in northeastern China [5] 2. Address forest fire risks in central and northeastern Jiangxi and western Hunan due to high temperatures and low rainfall [5] 3. Monitor for low-temperature rain and potential flooding in southwestern regions, with a focus on geological disaster risks [5]