BAIRUN CORPORATION(SZ:002568) Xin Lang Zheng Quan·2025-10-31 09:22Core Viewpoint - BaiRun Co., Ltd. is a leading company in the pre-mixed cocktail industry in China, with strong brand and technological barriers, and has shown impressive financial performance in recent quarters [1][2]. Group 1: Business Performance - In Q3 2025, BaiRun's revenue reached 2.27 billion yuan, ranking first among nine companies in the industry, with the second place, Zhangyu A, at 2.116 billion yuan [2]. - The net profit for the same period was 549 million yuan, also the highest in the industry, with Zhangyu A at 192 million yuan [2]. Group 2: Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, BaiRun's debt-to-asset ratio was 41.65%, a decrease from 42.54% year-on-year, but still above the industry average of 28.63% [3]. - The gross profit margin was 70.28%, slightly up from 70.11% year-on-year, significantly higher than the industry average of 47.51% [3]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders increased by 20.70% to 41,700, while the average number of circulating A-shares held per account decreased by 17.15% to 17,300 [5]. - The top ten circulating shareholders included the liquor ETF (512690), which increased its holdings by 5.789 million shares [5]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts expect BaiRun's revenue to grow to 3.1 billion yuan in 2025, 3.528 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.082 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 2%, 14%, and 16% respectively [5]. - Projected net profits for the same years are 706 million yuan, 794 million yuan, and 908 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of -2%, +12%, and +14% respectively [5]. - The company is expected to see a positive trend in its pre-mixed cocktail and whiskey businesses, with improvements in new product contributions and sales networks [6].