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千里科技扣非净利持续为负:政府补贴难掩主业亏损困境

Core Insights - Q3 financial results reveal that the company reported a revenue of 6.946 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 44.27%, but a net profit attributable to shareholders of 53.28 million yuan, a growth of 33.37%. However, after excluding non-recurring gains and losses, the company faced a net loss of 176 million yuan, indicating ongoing operational challenges despite apparent profits supported by government subsidies [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company's net profit in Q3 was 22.11 million yuan, significantly bolstered by government subsidies amounting to 87.59 million yuan, highlighting a concerning "profit inversion" that points to weak core business profitability [2]. - Operating cash flow for the first three quarters reached 2.508 billion yuan, a substantial increase of 364%, primarily driven by increased sales collections and government subsidies rather than improved core business performance [2]. - The gross margin for sales was 7.18%, down from 8.99% for the entire year of 2024, while the net profit margin remained negative at -2.56% [2]. R&D and Strategic Focus - The company's core issue lies in the imbalance between transformation investments and short-term returns, with Q3 losses attributed to increased advertising expenses and a surge in R&D spending for smart vehicle cockpit operating systems, totaling 455 million yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 68.15% [3]. - Following its rebranding in February 2025, the company shifted its strategic focus to the "AI + vehicle" sector, working on three main AI solutions: smart driving, smart cockpit, and Robotaxi, which have yet to generate revenue [3]. Market Valuation and IPO Plans - Despite ongoing losses, the company maintains a high market valuation, with a TTM price-to-earnings ratio of 1009 times and a price-to-sales ratio of approximately 5 times, significantly above industry averages, driven by market expectations for its smart driving business [4]. - The company submitted an IPO application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in mid-October, aiming to alleviate financial pressures. However, the sustainability of its valuation logic amidst continuous declines in net profit remains uncertain [4]. Transition Challenges - The company is currently in a transitional phase characterized by declining old business and unestablished new business, necessitating ongoing financing capabilities due to the high investment nature of its smart driving business [5]. - If the IPO is delayed or the commercialization of technology progresses slowly, the company may face risks of cash flow disruption, relying heavily on government subsidies and capital market support for its transformation efforts [5].