政府停摆干扰数据发布，摩通资管警示美联储决策受限

Core Insights - The Federal Reserve lowered the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75% to 4.00% on October 30, aligning with market expectations, but the ongoing U.S. government shutdown is significantly disrupting monetary policy formulation [1] - The shutdown has led to the inability to release key economic data, including the non-farm payroll report, which hampers the Fed's decision-making process due to a lack of complete information [1] - If the government shutdown does not cause further disruptions, the Fed may resume receiving employment and inflation data, which could influence their decision to maintain interest rates if the job market improves or inflation rebounds significantly [1] - There remains a possibility of a rate cut in December despite the current situation [1]