Core Viewpoint - Standard Chartered Group's Q3 2025 revenue and profit exceeded expectations, with a return on tangible equity (ROT E) maintaining an upward trend year-on-year. The decline in net interest margin has narrowed, and both Global Banking and Wealth Management achieved strong growth of over 20% [1][12]. Revenue Performance - Q3 2025 adjusted operating income reached $5.15 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5%, surpassing market consensus by 3% [2]. - The improvement in net interest income was supported by a narrowing decline in net interest margin, with non-interest income growing robustly, particularly in Wealth Management and Global Banking, which saw increases of 28% and 24% respectively [2][5]. Profitability - Adjusted pre-tax profit for Q3 2025 was $1.985 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10%, exceeding market expectations by 14% [3]. - The ROT E for the first nine months of 2025 was 16.5%, up 3.6 percentage points year-on-year, with the target of 13% ROT E expected to be achieved ahead of schedule [3][4]. Future Outlook - The company has raised its full-year revenue guidance to around 7%, with expectations for continued growth in ROT E [4][12]. - The long-term revenue CAGR guidance for 2023-2026 is set at 5%-7%, with non-interest income expected to contribute significantly due to strong trends in Global Transaction Banking and Wealth Management [4][12]. Credit Quality - The credit cost ratio remained low at 0.27%, below the long-term guidance of 30-35 basis points, supported by minimal exposure to Hong Kong commercial real estate and private credit [3][11]. - The non-performing loan ratio decreased to 1.93%, with a provision coverage ratio of 80.8% [6][11]. Wealth Management Growth - Wealth Management business saw a robust year-on-year growth of 28% in Q3 2025, driven by an increase in affluent client numbers and strong asset under management (AUM) inflows [7][12]. - The number of new affluent clients increased by 67,000 in Q3 2025, with total AUM reaching $438 billion, reflecting a quarterly growth of 4% [7][12]. Cost Management - Operating expenses grew by 4% year-on-year, while the cost-to-income ratio improved to 55.6%, down 2 percentage points year-on-year [3][4]. - The company is implementing cost control measures, with a target for operating costs to be below $12.3 billion by 2026 [4][12]. Investment Recommendation - Based on the strong performance and positive outlook, the target price has been raised to HKD 182, maintaining a buy rating and positioning Standard Chartered as a top pick in the banking sector [12][13].
渣打集团(2888.HK)：营收指引上调、ROTE目标提前完成 高成长优势凸显