CN GREEN ELECTRICITY(SZ:000537) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-10-31 14:36Core Viewpoint - The company reported its Q3 2025 results, showing a significant increase in revenue but a decline in net profit, highlighting the impact of rising electricity generation and changing market conditions [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.707 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.78%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 805 million yuan, a decrease of 12.02% [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.374 billion yuan and a net profit of 187 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.72% in revenue but a significant decline of 58.50% in net profit [1]. Electricity Generation - The company's total electricity generation for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 151.54 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 95.41%, with wind power generation at 60.70 billion kWh (up 12.41%) and solar power generation at 89.15 billion kWh (up 289.30%) [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company’s electricity generation increased by 86.46% year-on-year, with wind and solar generation growth rates of 9.86% and 188.88%, respectively, indicating a slight slowdown compared to the first half of the year [1]. Cash Flow and Receivables - The company's net cash flow from operating activities in Q3 2025 was 2.757 billion yuan, a substantial increase of 307.21% year-on-year, indicating a significant improvement in cash flow [2]. - As of the end of Q3 2025, accounts receivable stood at 5.601 billion yuan, a reduction of approximately 650 million yuan from the beginning of the year and about 800 million yuan from the same period last year, possibly due to improvements in green electricity subsidy collections [2]. Project Development - The company secured a total of 3.77 million kW in new energy construction indicators in the first three quarters of 2025, including 2 million kW for wind power, 970,000 kW for energy storage, and 800,000 kW for solar power [2]. - The company plans to adopt a more cautious approach to new energy project investments, focusing on investment returns, which may lead to a shift from quantity growth to quality improvement in project construction [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.277 billion yuan, 1.653 billion yuan, and 2.105 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 26.60%, 29.49%, and 27.32% [3]. - As of October 29, 2025, the company's stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14.24, 11.00, and 8.64 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3].