Asia-Potash(SZ:000893) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-10-31 14:40Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for the first three quarters of 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in both revenue and net profit, driven by rising potassium fertilizer prices domestically and internationally [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.87 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.36 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 163.0% [1]. - The adjusted net profit also stood at 1.36 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 164.6% [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company recorded revenue of 1.34 billion yuan, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increases of 71.4% and 2.7%, respectively [1]. - The net profit for Q3 was 510 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 104.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.0% [1]. Market Dynamics - The rise in potassium fertilizer prices has been attributed to a combination of domestic and international factors, including production cuts by leading overseas producers and increased trade costs due to geopolitical risks [1]. - The average market price of potassium chloride in China for Q3 2025 was approximately 3,269 yuan per ton, up 9.2% from the previous quarter [1]. - Internationally, the spot price in Vancouver for Q3 was about 313 USD per ton, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 7.0% [1]. Production and Sales - The production and sales volume of potassium chloride remained relatively stable, with a total production of 1.499 million tons and sales of 1.524 million tons in the first three quarters of 2025, representing year-on-year increases of 13.2% and 22.8%, respectively [2]. - In Q3 2025, the company produced 485,000 tons of potassium chloride, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter changes of +1.2% and -4.6%, respectively [2]. - Sales in Q3 reached 479,000 tons, showing a year-on-year increase of 25.9% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 7.4% [2]. Capacity Expansion - The company is progressing with its potassium fertilizer expansion project in Laos, which is expected to significantly increase its production capacity to 3 million tons, potentially achieving a sales scale of 5 million tons [2]. - The completion of two million-ton projects will further enhance the company's market position in the potassium fertilizer sector [2]. Shareholder Structure - In July 2025, the largest shareholder changed, with Huineng Group acquiring 14.05% of the company's shares, improving the governance structure [2]. - The company also agreed to purchase a 28.1447% stake in agricultural potassium resources from Zhongnong Group, achieving 100% control over the 179 mine [2]. Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.95 billion yuan, 2.89 billion yuan, and 3.70 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 105.0%, 48.5%, and 27.7%, respectively [3]. - Based on the closing price on October 29, the corresponding price-to-earnings ratios (PE) are estimated to be 21, 14, and 11 times for the respective years [3].