波黑两实体今年均呈现高额外贸逆差

Core Insights - Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) is experiencing significant trade deficits in both entities, the Republika Srpska and the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, as reported by local statistical agencies [1][2] Group 1: Trade Data Overview - In the Republika Srpska, the export value from January to September 2023 reached 3.95 billion marks, marking a 7% increase year-on-year, while imports totaled 5.58 billion marks, up 2.7% year-on-year, resulting in a trade deficit of 1.62 billion marks with a coverage rate of 70.9% [1] - The Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina reported exports of 8.33 billion marks and imports of 15.66 billion marks during the same period, leading to a trade deficit of 7.33 billion marks, with an export growth rate of 1.77% per month and an import growth rate of 0.68%, resulting in a coverage rate of 53.2% [1] Group 2: Statistical Reliability and Issues - Economist Igor Gavran noted that export statistics are relatively reliable across entities, as the export location typically aligns with actual production and settlement locations [2] - However, there are issues with the reliability of import statistics at the entity level, as it is challenging to determine the final destination and consumption of imported goods, particularly when many importers and major chains operate in both entities [2] - The implementation of a Sunday trading ban in the Federation has exacerbated statistical confusion, as sales in the Republika Srpska may include significant consumption from Federation residents, indicating that entity-level import data does not accurately reflect the relationship between foreign goods consumption and domestic exports [2]