Core Viewpoint - Eastern Airlines Logistics reported a decline in revenue and net profit for Q3 2025, primarily due to the impact of tariff changes on its comprehensive logistics solutions [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 17.25 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2 billion yuan, down 3.2% [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company recorded operating revenue of 5.99 billion yuan, a decline of 6.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 710 million yuan, down 9.8% [1]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 was 22%, an increase of 2 percentage points year-on-year, driven by ground comprehensive services [2]. Business Segment Analysis - Air Express: Revenue reached 2.8 billion yuan, up 23% year-on-year, despite a 5.5% decline in the Q3 TAC freight rate index [2]. - Ground Comprehensive Services: Revenue was 700 million yuan, a 9% increase year-on-year [2]. - Comprehensive Logistics Solutions: Revenue fell to 2.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 28% year-on-year, mainly due to the U.S. cancellation of the small package tax exemption policy [2]. Cost and Profitability - The company's expense ratio increased to 3.8%, up 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to rising management and financial expense ratios [2]. - Other income decreased by 93% year-on-year, contributing to a slight decline in net profit margin to 11.9%, down 0.5 percentage points [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively opening new flight routes and enhancing strategic partnerships to adapt to changing tariff policies [3]. - New international cargo transport routes were successfully launched, including "Hangzhou-Taiyuan-Kuala Lumpur" and "Xi'an-Kunming-Kuala Lumpur" [3]. - A strategic cooperation agreement was signed with SF Airlines to leverage both companies' resources and capabilities for improved logistics services [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 2.6 billion, 3 billion, and 3.3 billion yuan, respectively, and continues to hold a "buy" rating [4].
东航物流(601156):受关税政策冲击 Q3业绩小幅回落