“十月连涨神话”破灭！比特币本月跌近5%，六年来首次十月收跌

Core Insights - Bitcoin has ended its seven-year streak of gains in October, with a nearly 5% decline this month, marking the first drop since 2018 [1][4] - The cryptocurrency market faced its largest liquidation event in history, with Bitcoin plummeting from a high of over $126,000 on October 6 to around $104,000 by October 10-11 [1][5] - Despite the drop in October, Bitcoin has still risen over 16% year-to-date, supported by regulatory developments and a shift in sentiment towards digital assets [1][7] Market Performance - Bitcoin opened October at $114,000, continuing the bullish sentiment from September, which saw a 5% increase [2] - The price surged to a historical high of $126,000 on October 6 but quickly fell below $120,000, experiencing a flash crash to $104,000 mid-month [2][4] - By the end of October, Bitcoin was consolidating around the $110,000 mark [2] Historical Context - October has historically been a strong month for Bitcoin, with gains recorded every year for the past seven years, earning it the nickname "Uptober" [4] - The last time Bitcoin closed lower in October was in 2018, when it fell approximately 4% from the beginning of the month [4] Liquidation Events - October witnessed the largest liquidation event in cryptocurrency history, with Bitcoin dropping over 20% in a matter of days due to uncertainties surrounding Trump's tariff threats [5][6] - Market participants remain cautious, reflecting on the vulnerabilities exposed by this significant liquidation [5] Market Structure and Future Outlook - The current market structure differs significantly from 2018, with strong bullish fundamentals supporting Bitcoin, including institutional interest in spot Bitcoin ETFs and on-chain data indicating long-term holders are not selling off [7] - Despite the price consolidation around $110,000, volatility is lower than during previous market peaks, suggesting a potential buildup for another breakout [7] - Analysts, including Michael Saylor from Strategy, predict Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by the end of 2025, indicating a potentially strong year ahead for the cryptocurrency sector [7]