开发商预言：再过十年，二三十层高层住宅，将不得不面临3个困境

Core Insights - The Chinese real estate market has experienced rapid growth since the housing reform in 1998, with a total of 600 million residential units reported by the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, including rural self-built houses and properties for resettlement [1] - Despite the large number of residential units, there is a significant issue of oversupply, particularly with high-rise buildings, which were once favored for their aesthetic appeal and ability to accommodate more residents on limited land [1] Group 1 - High public area ratio is a significant drawback of high-rise residential buildings, with common public area ratios reaching 25% to 30%, leading to additional financial burdens for buyers [2] - Inconvenient access is another major pain point, as high-rise buildings often have limited elevator capacity, resulting in long wait times during peak hours and difficulties during elevator maintenance [3] Group 2 - High-rise buildings face challenges regarding demolition, as the high costs associated with relocating numerous residents make it unlikely for such projects to be initiated [5] - Concerns about building quality arise due to rushed construction practices and financial difficulties faced by developers, with the average lifespan of domestic buildings estimated at only 30 years, far below the intended 70 years [5] - Safety hazards are present in high-rise buildings, particularly during emergencies like earthquakes or fires, where elevator failures can complicate evacuation efforts [5] - Maintenance costs for high-rise buildings are expected to rise over time, placing additional financial pressure on homeowners as equipment ages and requires repair or replacement [5]