Workflow
农业银行(601288)2025年三季报点评:收入利润继续保持正增长
Ge Long Hui·2025-11-01 11:53

Core Viewpoint - The company has maintained positive growth in revenue and profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year increase in operating income and net profit, indicating a stable financial performance despite some declines in key ratios [1][2]. Financial Performance - Operating income for the first three quarters reached 550.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 2.0%, with an increase of 1.2 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 220.9 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.0%, with a slight recovery in growth rate of 0.3 percentage points from the first half [1]. - The annualized weighted average ROE stood at 10.5%, showing a decrease of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [1]. Asset Growth - Total assets grew by 10.5% year-on-year to 48.1 trillion yuan by the end of the third quarter, with an increase of 11.3% since the beginning of the year [1]. - Deposits increased by 5.8% year-to-date to 32.1 trillion yuan, while total loans rose by 8.3% to 26.9 trillion yuan [1]. - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio was 11.16%, down 0.26 percentage points from the beginning of the year [1]. Interest Margin - The average net interest margin for the first three quarters was 1.30%, a decrease of 15 basis points year-on-year, with a slight widening of the decline by 2 basis points compared to the first half [1]. - Net interest income decreased by 2.4% year-on-year, with the average net interest margin for the third quarter at 1.26%, down 4 basis points from the second quarter [1]. Non-Interest Income - Net fee income grew by 13.3% year-on-year, continuing the high growth trend observed in the mid-year report, primarily driven by increased income from wealth management and fund distribution [2]. - Other non-interest income surged by 31.7% year-on-year, mainly due to increased bond investment income [2]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio was 1.27% at the end of the third quarter, down 0.03 percentage points from the beginning of the year and 0.01 percentage points from the second quarter [2]. - The provision coverage ratio was 295%, a decrease of 5 percentage points year-on-year, remaining stable compared to the second quarter [2]. Investment Outlook - The company maintains its profit forecast unchanged, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders of 292.4 billion, 301.9 billion, and 313.3 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 3.7%, 3.2%, and 3.8% respectively [2]. - The diluted EPS is projected to be 0.78, 0.81, and 0.84 yuan for the same period, with corresponding PE ratios of 10.4, 10.1, and 9.7 times, and PB ratios of 1.03, 0.96, and 0.90 times [2].