扬农化工(600486)：三季度销售增势良好 业绩持稳

Core Viewpoint - Yangnong Chemical reported a revenue of 9.156 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.23%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.055 billion yuan, up 2.88% year-on-year [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The company achieved a revenue of 2.923 billion yuan in the third quarter, a year-on-year increase of 26.15%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 5.01% to 250 million yuan [1][2] - Earnings per share for the third quarter were 0.62 yuan, with operating cash flow per share at 5.24 yuan [1] Business Segment Performance - For the first three quarters, the revenue breakdown is as follows: - Active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) revenue was 5.409 billion yuan, an increase of approximately 588 million yuan year-on-year - Formulations revenue was 1.332 billion yuan, a decrease of 64 million yuan year-on-year - Trade and other business revenue was approximately 2.424 billion yuan, an increase of 617 million yuan year-on-year [3] - The sales volume for APIs and formulations was 86,300 tons and 33,200 tons, respectively, with year-on-year changes of +10,200 tons and -1,100 tons [3] - The average selling prices for APIs and formulations were 62,700 yuan/ton and 44,400 yuan/ton, reflecting year-on-year declines of 1.1% and 4.9% respectively [3] Gross Margin and Expenses - The overall gross margin for the first three quarters was 22.4%, down 1.7 percentage points year-on-year; the gross margin for the third quarter was 19.6%, down 3.9 percentage points year-on-year and down 2.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [4] - Research and development expenses for the third quarter were 111 million yuan, an increase of approximately 29 million yuan year-on-year, while management expenses decreased by about 33 million yuan to 111 million yuan [4] - Credit impairment losses were approximately 5.34 million yuan, an increase of 33.29 million yuan year-on-year, negatively impacting net profit [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Considering product price changes and project progress, the forecasted net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025 to 2027 are 1.3 billion, 1.62 billion, and 1.93 billion yuan respectively, with previous estimates being 1.47 billion, 1.78 billion, and 2.04 billion yuan [5]