交通银行(601328):业绩增速全面改善
Ge Long Hui·2025-11-01 13:11

Core Viewpoint - The company's performance in the first three quarters of 2025 aligns with expectations, showing modest growth in net profit, pre-provision profit, and operating income compared to the previous year [1][2]. Performance Summary - Net profit, pre-provision profit, and operating income for the first three quarters of 2025 increased by 2.2%, 0.7%, and 1.8% year-on-year, respectively, indicating a positive trend in profitability [1]. - The growth rates for net profit, pre-provision profit, and operating income improved by 0.8 percentage points, 1.8 percentage points, and 1.0 percentage points compared to the first half of the year, driven by an increase in non-interest income and provisioning savings [1]. - Non-interest income, including net fee income, grew by 0.2% and 4.1% year-on-year, with growth rates improving by 2.4 percentage points and 2.7 percentage points, respectively, compared to the first half of the year [1]. - Asset impairment losses decreased by 3% year-on-year, with a decline of 4.8 percentage points compared to the first half of the year [1]. Asset Quality - As of the end of the third quarter, the company's non-performing loan ratio was 1.26%, down 2 basis points from the end of the first half [2]. - The proportion of special mention loans decreased to 1.57%, a decline of 2 basis points, while overdue loans decreased to 1.40%, down 1 basis point [2]. - The provision coverage ratio increased by 0.4 percentage points to 210.0%, while the loan-to-deposit ratio decreased by 3 basis points to 2.65% [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecast, with the current A-share price corresponding to 0.5 times the estimated price-to-book ratio for 2025 and 2026 [2]. - The target price for A-shares remains at 9.72 yuan, reflecting a potential upside of 37.0% from the current price [2]. - The current H-share price corresponds to 0.5 times the estimated price-to-book ratio for 2025 and 0.4 times for 2026, with a target price of 7.93 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 15.4% [2].