新希望前三季净利润同比增长近4倍 生猪行情低迷拖累Q3业绩

Core Insights - New Hope reported a nearly fourfold increase in net profit for the first three quarters of the year, but a significant decline in Q3 net profit [2] - The company achieved a revenue of 80.504 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.27%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 760 million yuan, up 395.89% [2] - In Q3, revenue was 28.879 billion yuan, a 4.51% increase year-on-year, but net profit dropped to 5.1255 million yuan, a 99.63% decline [2] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The substantial growth in net profit for the first three quarters was primarily due to higher sales prices of live pigs compared to the previous year, improved breeding costs, reduced losses in the pig industry, and increased profits from the feed business [2] - The feed business significantly contributed to the profit growth, with a reported net profit of 600 million yuan in the first half of the year, averaging 100 million yuan per month [2] International Operations - The company’s overseas feed business has been performing well, with over 3 million tons sold in the first half of the year, an 18% year-on-year increase [2] - The average profit from overseas feed exceeded 180 yuan per ton, with poultry feed averaging nearly 140 yuan per ton and pig feed over 300 yuan per ton, significantly higher than domestic profits [2] - New Hope plans to add 3 to 4 million tons of overseas production capacity in the next 3-5 years [2] Q3 Performance and Market Conditions - In Q3, the company sold 4.0345 million live pigs, a nearly 10% year-on-year increase, but the sales price fell sharply, reaching a year-low of 12.89 yuan per kilogram in September, down 5.92 yuan per kilogram from the previous year [3] - Q3 sales revenue from live pigs was 5.27 billion yuan [3] Future Outlook - The pig industry is expected to accelerate capacity reduction due to ongoing losses and policies aimed at reducing breeding sows and controlling weight [3] - Despite the anticipated industry changes, the short-term supply-demand imbalance is unlikely to be resolved quickly, and cost reduction remains crucial for companies to navigate the cycle [3] - New Hope has successfully reduced costs, achieving a target of 13 yuan per kilogram ahead of schedule, with September costs for normal operations dropping to the low 12 yuan range [3]